Last month the state government released estimates for travel time reductions attributable to the Suburban Rail Loop (East). These were welcomed by Monash University, who highlighted the improved accessibility to its Clayton campus.
What will the Suburban Rail Loop East do?
The SRL (which in all cases here means just Suburban Rail Loop East) will do three main things:
* 1. It adds rail coverage at Burwood and Monash, feeding existing radial train and tram lines.
* 2. It increases the number of rail-rail connection points on the network.
* 3. It will massively speed certain cross-suburban trips compared to current train, bus and driving options in Melbourne's east and south-east.
Everyone understands coverage. Not so many appreciate the importance of connection points as Melbourne has none outside the CBD with good 90 degree line geometry, consistently high frequency and ease of physical interchange. Neither do many Melburnians understand the transformative power of speed because they are conditioned to their public transport being slow and/or infrequent for all but CBD direction peak period train trips.
Insert even one fast and frequent corridor into a network and things starts to change. Fast frequent lines widen possibilities. They compress space-time. They have a habit of drawing people in to them, aiding trips that you thought were outside their catchment, even if one or even two extra changes are required. That's just in the short-run; these patterns conducive to a city taking transit for more of its trips can be reinforced by housing and development later. Just like how road projects like Eastlink and the M80 have shaped Melbourne in the opposite direction (ie in favour of more driving and sprawl).
What will the Suburban Rail Loop East do?
The SRL (which in all cases here means just Suburban Rail Loop East) will do three main things:
* 1. It adds rail coverage at Burwood and Monash, feeding existing radial train and tram lines.
* 2. It increases the number of rail-rail connection points on the network.
* 3. It will massively speed certain cross-suburban trips compared to current train, bus and driving options in Melbourne's east and south-east.
Everyone understands coverage. Not so many appreciate the importance of connection points as Melbourne has none outside the CBD with good 90 degree line geometry, consistently high frequency and ease of physical interchange. Neither do many Melburnians understand the transformative power of speed because they are conditioned to their public transport being slow and/or infrequent for all but CBD direction peak period train trips.
Insert even one fast and frequent corridor into a network and things starts to change. Fast frequent lines widen possibilities. They compress space-time. They have a habit of drawing people in to them, aiding trips that you thought were outside their catchment, even if one or even two extra changes are required. That's just in the short-run; these patterns conducive to a city taking transit for more of its trips can be reinforced by housing and development later. Just like how road projects like Eastlink and the M80 have shaped Melbourne in the opposite direction (ie in favour of more driving and sprawl).
Outstanding examples of transformative public transport include the Metro in Sydney and the Yanchep - Mandurah line in Perth. Plan various trips to see how often segments of these lines appear on 'fastest time' itineraries, even for locations away from these lines.
The Metro Tunnel and Suburban Rail Loop will also get to be in this class provided that:
* High frequencies on intersecting lines ensure minimal waits at any time
* Good design ensures that physical interchange is short, direct, sheltered and within the fare paid area
Better than the City Loop
Proponents of the Suburban Rail Loop (and the Metro Tunnel) like making comparisons with the City Loop. The implication being that the City Loop succeeded despite intense criticism and cost blow-outs. And that the newer projects will too so critics don't have a leg to stand on.
My view is that proponents of both are selling themselves short if they are comparing their projects with the City Loop.
This is because, despite its three new stations (which were worthwhile), I regard the City Loop as designed and built not fully suitable for a modern multi-purpose transport network.
I define the latter as a all week frequent network useful for diverse trips in multiple directions. Except for Sunday morning travel, Melbourne's pre WWII network was good in this regard within about 10km of the CBD (especially the inner north which had frequent east-west buses supplementing the north-south trains and trams).
We dropped the ball on that for about 50 years as our idea of public transport's role narrowed. The City Loop as built and still operates today reflects the narrow commuter mindset that was pretty much the only politically resonating justification for rail investment from the 1960s to early this century. That is to support a small CBD area by getting people from suburbs there in the morning and back again in the afternoon.
Other potential uses for the railway, including off-peak, weekend or cross-city travel, were either discounted or degraded by the time the City Loop opened. That placed excessive burden on the tram network that was already suffering from mounting car traffic congestion.
The City Loop's main success was activating development around today's Flagstaff, Melbourne Central and Parliament stations. However the City Loop's insistence on one-seat rides to all CBD stations, while possibly necessary for the project to win Bolte's political backing and thus get built, came at a huge opportunity cost that we are still paying now.
One of those included the complex operating patterns (including midday reversals) that effectively make City Loop stations no-go places for tourists or others who want simple reliable travel. For a long time travel between a Loop station and Southern Cross was difficult at certain times and frequencies are still not consistently high. The geometry is also poor with the City Loop actually making many trips slower by taking people the 'long way around' and underutilising capacity. Fast growing CBD fringe areas like Southbank and Docklands are, if anything, penalised by the City Loop.
The one-seat ride mentality caused the City Loop to be over-built with its stations featuring four portals over two levels. The equivalent of billions could have been saved, and travel made simpler, had the new stations just been two platform affairs on a new through track pair between North Melbourne and Richmond similar to the 1929 plan's Northern City Railway.
Everyone has now learned this is how to do it. Whether it's Perth's linking of the Joondalup and Mandurah lines, Sydney's Metro or Melbourne's Metro Tunnel, there is now consensus that frequent cross-city through services are good and CBD rail loops are bad. If you want better coverage without building a loop, just build another cross-city line and have good interchange arrangements, like we are doing with the Metro Tunnel.
The City Loop's main success was activating development around today's Flagstaff, Melbourne Central and Parliament stations. However the City Loop's insistence on one-seat rides to all CBD stations, while possibly necessary for the project to win Bolte's political backing and thus get built, came at a huge opportunity cost that we are still paying now.
One of those included the complex operating patterns (including midday reversals) that effectively make City Loop stations no-go places for tourists or others who want simple reliable travel. For a long time travel between a Loop station and Southern Cross was difficult at certain times and frequencies are still not consistently high. The geometry is also poor with the City Loop actually making many trips slower by taking people the 'long way around' and underutilising capacity. Fast growing CBD fringe areas like Southbank and Docklands are, if anything, penalised by the City Loop.
The one-seat ride mentality caused the City Loop to be over-built with its stations featuring four portals over two levels. The equivalent of billions could have been saved, and travel made simpler, had the new stations just been two platform affairs on a new through track pair between North Melbourne and Richmond similar to the 1929 plan's Northern City Railway.
Everyone has now learned this is how to do it. Whether it's Perth's linking of the Joondalup and Mandurah lines, Sydney's Metro or Melbourne's Metro Tunnel, there is now consensus that frequent cross-city through services are good and CBD rail loops are bad. If you want better coverage without building a loop, just build another cross-city line and have good interchange arrangements, like we are doing with the Metro Tunnel.
When Melbourne does need more CBD rail capacity, Infrastructure Victoria has found that the most cost-effective way to do this is to break open the City Loop so that two of its platforms become a bidirectional through pair as first envisaged nearly a century ago.
Only when that and more frequent all week timetables happen will we have finally exorcised the 1960s commuter mentality which held the rail network back for decades since, resulting in Melbourne's rail patronage being only about 60% of Sydney's despite ours having more stations.
Fortunately the Network Development Plan (Metropolitan Rail) of 2012 marked an official revival of the thinking required with its all-day rail frequency boosts and multimodal coordination framework. Unfortunately, with 20 to 40 min frequencies still widespread on the network, implementation has been nearly a decade slower than envisaged. However the Metro Tunnel interchanges and associated timetables offer hope for at least some parts of the network.
To summarise, saying your rail project is as good as the City Loop is a low bar for what we want a future transformed rail network to do. Leaving aside other concerns (that may be legitimate) both the Metro Tunnel and (especially) the Suburban Rail Loop offer superior geometry to the City Loop. This means that both have a chance to succeed for new and diverse trips, especially those involving connections, in a way that the City Loop did not.
SRL's travel time estimates - general comments
The Suburban Rail Loop project has provided 43 examples of such new and diverse trips that would get easier and faster with SRL East. This lists the SRL's travel time savings relative to existing public transport and driving. This has provided the basis for messaging in the last few weeks promoting the project. Comparisons against potential alternative packages of public transport improvements were outside the scope of this work.
The introduction does not tell us how they chose the trip origin and destination pairs. Knowing this method is important to be assured that there is some science to it (eg population densities, demographics, proposed housing strategies) rather then them being cherry picked to make the SRL look good.
About 60% of the destinations are universities, mostly Monash and Deakin, which are on or near the Suburban Rail Loop. Other hospitals and shopping centres near Box Hill, Clayton and 'Cheltenham' also feature. One trip is even to the special event station of Showgrounds, presumably to highlight the SRL's potential usefulness for non-commute trips. Destinations that are conspicuously under-represented include shopping centres along Burwood Hwy, non-university locations in the Monash precinct and jobs in the Moorabbin industrial area, even though SRL East may benefit access to these from some directions, provided 'last-mile' feeder transport is up to scratch.
Origins are, if anything, less representative. They are pretty much all train stations. Hence we don't see locations like St Kilda, Carrum Downs, Clarinda, Aspendale Gardens, Forest Hill, Wantirna or Doncaster East. Even though such residents are more likely to work or study in the SRL East catchment than those living in Laverton or Williamstown. Trips like Preston - Monash Uni would however greatly benefit from the full Suburban Rail Loop - maybe that's why they were included to help explain the case for SRL North.
The SRL East may still benefit some public transport trips made from western and northern origins, but only marginally. If you want larger gains for people in the north and west then improving the network near them will have the biggest benefits, including for trips to the CBD, east and south. One such local network improvement starting soon will be Metro Tunnel directness and frequency benefits for the Sunbury line. Revamped bus networks will also be critical to maximise benefits for those not near stations.
The travel time comparisons are based on 8am weekday departures. Compared to if it was done at other times this favours train travel over driving. However the gap is less for public transport trips that have a tram or bus component as these are also slowed by road traffic. It might have been desirable to repeat the trip plans at a small number of other times (including interpeak, evening and weekends) to make comparisons between modes more robust across the week.
Having said that driving alone can be more stressful and expensive than public transport. There would be a substantial population who would use public transport for a trip even if say 20 or 30% slower than driving provided factors like reliability, frequency and comfort were acceptable. It is also probably true that the existence of fast public transport to a destination can change travel habits, resulting in not only a shift of some trips from driving to public transport but a change in the composition of trips to favour higher activity at locations well served by public transport. At least for a while that frees up road space for car drivers who are not able to change their travel patterns.
A case where the travel time comparisons between modes are likely to favour public transport is when you jump forward a few years. As noted in the introduction, 2035 SRL travel times are being compared against driving times in 2025. Likely increased traffic congestion may make driving slower in 2035 than now, making more public transport trips that include the SRL faster than driving. Monash Professor Graham Currie endorsed the SRL's comparisons as being 'quite conservative' for this reason.
Comments on specific trips modelled by the SRL project
Fortunately the Network Development Plan (Metropolitan Rail) of 2012 marked an official revival of the thinking required with its all-day rail frequency boosts and multimodal coordination framework. Unfortunately, with 20 to 40 min frequencies still widespread on the network, implementation has been nearly a decade slower than envisaged. However the Metro Tunnel interchanges and associated timetables offer hope for at least some parts of the network.
To summarise, saying your rail project is as good as the City Loop is a low bar for what we want a future transformed rail network to do. Leaving aside other concerns (that may be legitimate) both the Metro Tunnel and (especially) the Suburban Rail Loop offer superior geometry to the City Loop. This means that both have a chance to succeed for new and diverse trips, especially those involving connections, in a way that the City Loop did not.
SRL's travel time estimates - general comments
The Suburban Rail Loop project has provided 43 examples of such new and diverse trips that would get easier and faster with SRL East. This lists the SRL's travel time savings relative to existing public transport and driving. This has provided the basis for messaging in the last few weeks promoting the project. Comparisons against potential alternative packages of public transport improvements were outside the scope of this work.
The introduction does not tell us how they chose the trip origin and destination pairs. Knowing this method is important to be assured that there is some science to it (eg population densities, demographics, proposed housing strategies) rather then them being cherry picked to make the SRL look good.
About 60% of the destinations are universities, mostly Monash and Deakin, which are on or near the Suburban Rail Loop. Other hospitals and shopping centres near Box Hill, Clayton and 'Cheltenham' also feature. One trip is even to the special event station of Showgrounds, presumably to highlight the SRL's potential usefulness for non-commute trips. Destinations that are conspicuously under-represented include shopping centres along Burwood Hwy, non-university locations in the Monash precinct and jobs in the Moorabbin industrial area, even though SRL East may benefit access to these from some directions, provided 'last-mile' feeder transport is up to scratch.
Origins are, if anything, less representative. They are pretty much all train stations. Hence we don't see locations like St Kilda, Carrum Downs, Clarinda, Aspendale Gardens, Forest Hill, Wantirna or Doncaster East. Even though such residents are more likely to work or study in the SRL East catchment than those living in Laverton or Williamstown. Trips like Preston - Monash Uni would however greatly benefit from the full Suburban Rail Loop - maybe that's why they were included to help explain the case for SRL North.
The SRL East may still benefit some public transport trips made from western and northern origins, but only marginally. If you want larger gains for people in the north and west then improving the network near them will have the biggest benefits, including for trips to the CBD, east and south. One such local network improvement starting soon will be Metro Tunnel directness and frequency benefits for the Sunbury line. Revamped bus networks will also be critical to maximise benefits for those not near stations.
The travel time comparisons are based on 8am weekday departures. Compared to if it was done at other times this favours train travel over driving. However the gap is less for public transport trips that have a tram or bus component as these are also slowed by road traffic. It might have been desirable to repeat the trip plans at a small number of other times (including interpeak, evening and weekends) to make comparisons between modes more robust across the week.
Having said that driving alone can be more stressful and expensive than public transport. There would be a substantial population who would use public transport for a trip even if say 20 or 30% slower than driving provided factors like reliability, frequency and comfort were acceptable. It is also probably true that the existence of fast public transport to a destination can change travel habits, resulting in not only a shift of some trips from driving to public transport but a change in the composition of trips to favour higher activity at locations well served by public transport. At least for a while that frees up road space for car drivers who are not able to change their travel patterns.
A case where the travel time comparisons between modes are likely to favour public transport is when you jump forward a few years. As noted in the introduction, 2035 SRL travel times are being compared against driving times in 2025. Likely increased traffic congestion may make driving slower in 2035 than now, making more public transport trips that include the SRL faster than driving. Monash Professor Graham Currie endorsed the SRL's comparisons as being 'quite conservative' for this reason.
Comments on specific trips modelled by the SRL project
(those in red are entirely on SRL)
1. Albion - Monash Uni
The transport project that will have the biggest benefit for this trip (especially for those whose destination is near the existing bus interchange) is not the SRL but the Metro Tunnel. This is because it will provide a one seat ride to Huntingdale where it's an easy change to a 601 express bus every few minutes. The likely improvement in off-peak and evening frequency to Albion will also be a substantial gain.
To make their comparison work the SRL has had to assume that the destination is at the northern side of the campus near where the Monash station will be. This choice excludes the frequent express Huntingdale bus option (which serves the south side) in favour of a longer, slower and less frequent bus from Oakleigh (which serves the north side). A 75 minute current journey is assumed as a base from which to claim a 15 minute time saving post SRL.
However passengers can do the trip to the south side interchange in 73 minutes with that including the diversion via Flagstaff and a change of trains. Take that out post Metro Tunnel and you are likely to speed that to 65 - 70 minutes. Thus SRL's time saving might not then be so high, depending on where on you wish to go on the campus. Conversely those in nearby student housing will benefit greatly from the SRL, but it is unlikely they will want to go to Albion!
2. Bayswater - Monash Uni
Unlike Albion, the SRL is a clear travel time reducer versus existing public transport, even if your destination is nearer the south of the campus.
Driving (30 minutes under current conditions) remains quicker, even in peak. But 30 versus 37 minutes is probably not a big deal, especially after parking hassles are counted.
The big problem for off-peak and evening public transport though is frequency. While SRL will be frequent the Belgrave line on which Bayswater sits has 30 minute midday and evening gaps. This was true 40 years ago and is likely to be equally true in ten years given the current slow rate of train timetable reform.
Bayswater is a large suburb and most of its residents are beyond walking distance of the station. Its bus network has been basically unreformed for many years. As will be a common theme here, the SRL's usefulness for people in outer eastern suburbs like Bayswater will be heavily constrained by low Metro train frequencies and inefficient bus networks. These should have been fixed years ago but the second best time to fix them is now, or at least well before the SRL opens.
Driving (30 minutes under current conditions) remains quicker, even in peak. But 30 versus 37 minutes is probably not a big deal, especially after parking hassles are counted.
The big problem for off-peak and evening public transport though is frequency. While SRL will be frequent the Belgrave line on which Bayswater sits has 30 minute midday and evening gaps. This was true 40 years ago and is likely to be equally true in ten years given the current slow rate of train timetable reform.
Bayswater is a large suburb and most of its residents are beyond walking distance of the station. Its bus network has been basically unreformed for many years. As will be a common theme here, the SRL's usefulness for people in outer eastern suburbs like Bayswater will be heavily constrained by low Metro train frequencies and inefficient bus networks. These should have been fixed years ago but the second best time to fix them is now, or at least well before the SRL opens.
3. Belgrave - Deakin Uni
Unlike the previous Bayswater example, the SRL makes this trip (just) faster than driving if travelling during peak hour. But similar to Bayswater, Belgrave and nearby stations like Ferntree Gully has 30 minute gaps between off-peak trains and generally poor bus services.
4. Burwood - Box Hill
This trip involves taking the SRL one station instead of having to choose between several less frequent and slower buses (including the 201 express shuttle). You will be able to order food at a Box Hill restaurant, go to Deakin and have returned well before your meal is ready. In other words travel time will be fraction of both driving and the existing buses. It's effectively a wormhole that will revolutionise how people will think of the two locations and travel between them.
5. Carrum - Box Hill Hospital
The current journey involves changing trains at Richmond. There are orbital SmartBuses that could avoid such an inward trip but they are too slow to save time during the peaks. The orbitals' main virtue is that the fare is cheaper (as the trip is entirely in Zone 2) and they offer some relief from the frequent bus replacements that currently plague the Frankston line.
The SRL will save time compared to now. A factor that will affect the attractiveness of this trip will be the quality of the interchange at Southland, including directness, shelter and safety at night.
6. Caulfield - Glen Waverley
Both Caulfield and Glen Waverley are major centres in the south-east. Caulfield is a major rail junction and has a Monash University campus while Glen Waverley has a major shopping centre and apartment complexes. Whatever you might say about some of the other origin-destination pairs in this list, this one is very well chosen. There ought to be efficient transport between the two but there currently isn't.
The SRL offers a 22 minute travel time between the two. Their claim of 39 minutes existing time (involving the complex and infrequent 624 bus) leads to a 17 minute time saving. However this is conservative; the journey planner result I got was 42 minutes existing time.
The SRL path involves taking a train to Clayton (going south-east) and then north-east via the SRL. The geometry isn't direct with the SRL's speed contributing to the time saved. Also notable is that it isn't necessary to wait for the SRL to get good connectivity.
Both the Alamein and Glen Waverley lines pass quite close to Caulfield station. It is a major structural network failing that no good connections exist given Caulfield's status as a junction and soon to be connector to the Metro Tunnel. Connections could include a modest Route 3 tram extension to Malvern East, a Route 734 bus extension to Caulfield and/or more frequent buses to the north via Gardiner or Tooronga. They are an example of initiatives that could be done ahead of the SRL to provide an even more robust and direct network.
7. Cheltenham - Box Hill
Being end to end with no connections needed, the SRL can be expected to do well here and it does. It more than halves travel time compared to either driving or public transport (again, like Carrum a change of trains at Richmond). As mentioned, such extreme speeds greatly changes peoples ideas of where they can go and what they can do.
A key issue is what happens when you go away from the interchange. Do the benefits dissipate at 2km distant or do they linger for 5 or 10km out? A lot of this is dependent on connectivity such as easy physical interchange, feeder routes and active transport connections. When you've got such high speed between nodes you can add (say) a 20 minutes allowance for feeder access and still get an end-to-end trip faster than driving. This is what made lines in Perth and Sydney so successful but we don't have the same high speed/high frequency combination of transit yet in Melbourne. The SRL may introduce such a connection here, though unlike in the other cities it does not directly serve the CBD.
Just because you have the SRL coming does not mean you should give up on bus reform, even on routes that roughly parallel the SRL. Due to SRL's wide station spacing such a route is still desirable as a feeder. An example I've mentioned before is Route 733. Linking Box Hill, Monash and Clayton it is the metropolitan bus route most like the SRL. It should be extended to Clarinda, Cheltenham and preferably Sandringham and run at high frequencies to lessen the SRL's drop-off in utility as you get more than walking distance from one of its stations. And, if implemented before the SRL it would help to shape the mindsets needed for the SRL to succeed.
8. Cheltenham - Deakin Uni
This is another entirely on-SRL trip. It is perhaps a measure of the slowness of buses that although Cheltenham (at Southland bus interchange) already has a one-seat bus ride to Deakin University (the 767 bus) the journey plan forces a more complex trip (involving a train and two buses) to save ten minutes. Even a trip via the more frequent and direct 903 bus was not included.
Even on the basis of that fastest trip, the SRL cuts travel time from 60 to 20 minutes. That travel time reduction is so great that it probably makes up for the convoluted transfer arrangements at Cheltenham if changing from a Metro train.
9. Cheltenham - M City
Unlike the previous Bayswater example, the SRL makes this trip (just) faster than driving if travelling during peak hour. But similar to Bayswater, Belgrave and nearby stations like Ferntree Gully has 30 minute gaps between off-peak trains and generally poor bus services.
4. Burwood - Box Hill
This trip involves taking the SRL one station instead of having to choose between several less frequent and slower buses (including the 201 express shuttle). You will be able to order food at a Box Hill restaurant, go to Deakin and have returned well before your meal is ready. In other words travel time will be fraction of both driving and the existing buses. It's effectively a wormhole that will revolutionise how people will think of the two locations and travel between them.
5. Carrum - Box Hill Hospital
The current journey involves changing trains at Richmond. There are orbital SmartBuses that could avoid such an inward trip but they are too slow to save time during the peaks. The orbitals' main virtue is that the fare is cheaper (as the trip is entirely in Zone 2) and they offer some relief from the frequent bus replacements that currently plague the Frankston line.
The SRL will save time compared to now. A factor that will affect the attractiveness of this trip will be the quality of the interchange at Southland, including directness, shelter and safety at night.
6. Caulfield - Glen Waverley
Both Caulfield and Glen Waverley are major centres in the south-east. Caulfield is a major rail junction and has a Monash University campus while Glen Waverley has a major shopping centre and apartment complexes. Whatever you might say about some of the other origin-destination pairs in this list, this one is very well chosen. There ought to be efficient transport between the two but there currently isn't.
The SRL offers a 22 minute travel time between the two. Their claim of 39 minutes existing time (involving the complex and infrequent 624 bus) leads to a 17 minute time saving. However this is conservative; the journey planner result I got was 42 minutes existing time.
The SRL path involves taking a train to Clayton (going south-east) and then north-east via the SRL. The geometry isn't direct with the SRL's speed contributing to the time saved. Also notable is that it isn't necessary to wait for the SRL to get good connectivity.
Both the Alamein and Glen Waverley lines pass quite close to Caulfield station. It is a major structural network failing that no good connections exist given Caulfield's status as a junction and soon to be connector to the Metro Tunnel. Connections could include a modest Route 3 tram extension to Malvern East, a Route 734 bus extension to Caulfield and/or more frequent buses to the north via Gardiner or Tooronga. They are an example of initiatives that could be done ahead of the SRL to provide an even more robust and direct network.
7. Cheltenham - Box Hill
Being end to end with no connections needed, the SRL can be expected to do well here and it does. It more than halves travel time compared to either driving or public transport (again, like Carrum a change of trains at Richmond). As mentioned, such extreme speeds greatly changes peoples ideas of where they can go and what they can do.
A key issue is what happens when you go away from the interchange. Do the benefits dissipate at 2km distant or do they linger for 5 or 10km out? A lot of this is dependent on connectivity such as easy physical interchange, feeder routes and active transport connections. When you've got such high speed between nodes you can add (say) a 20 minutes allowance for feeder access and still get an end-to-end trip faster than driving. This is what made lines in Perth and Sydney so successful but we don't have the same high speed/high frequency combination of transit yet in Melbourne. The SRL may introduce such a connection here, though unlike in the other cities it does not directly serve the CBD.
Just because you have the SRL coming does not mean you should give up on bus reform, even on routes that roughly parallel the SRL. Due to SRL's wide station spacing such a route is still desirable as a feeder. An example I've mentioned before is Route 733. Linking Box Hill, Monash and Clayton it is the metropolitan bus route most like the SRL. It should be extended to Clarinda, Cheltenham and preferably Sandringham and run at high frequencies to lessen the SRL's drop-off in utility as you get more than walking distance from one of its stations. And, if implemented before the SRL it would help to shape the mindsets needed for the SRL to succeed.
8. Cheltenham - Deakin Uni
This is another entirely on-SRL trip. It is perhaps a measure of the slowness of buses that although Cheltenham (at Southland bus interchange) already has a one-seat bus ride to Deakin University (the 767 bus) the journey plan forces a more complex trip (involving a train and two buses) to save ten minutes. Even a trip via the more frequent and direct 903 bus was not included.
Even on the basis of that fastest trip, the SRL cuts travel time from 60 to 20 minutes. That travel time reduction is so great that it probably makes up for the convoluted transfer arrangements at Cheltenham if changing from a Metro train.
9. Cheltenham - M City
Like with Cheltenham - Deakin University there is a route that permits a one seat ride (the 631) but it is indirect and slow. The SRL's existing option has the trip requiring two trains and a bus to take 47 minutes. However when I planned it the 631 option taking 50 minutes (and a cheaper Zone 2 only fare) came up - overall a better / more reliable choice.
The post SRL plan shortens the trip by 20 minutes. It involves an SRL to Clayton and then a shorter 631 trip to M City. However travel time variability will be high due to the bus' 20 minute frequency (30 min interpeak). Also this option appears to be based on the existing bus network despite the SRL being significant enough to precipitate reform.
The post SRL plan shortens the trip by 20 minutes. It involves an SRL to Clayton and then a shorter 631 trip to M City. However travel time variability will be high due to the bus' 20 minute frequency (30 min interpeak). Also this option appears to be based on the existing bus network despite the SRL being significant enough to precipitate reform.
10. Cheltenham - Monash Uni
Another entirely SRL trip. Trip time is cut from a claimed 50 minutes currently to 10 minutes. Like the Albion example this involves a trip to the north side of the campus. If one is happy to travel to the existing main bus interchange on the south side you can get the indirect but one-seat Route 631 from Southland Bus Interchange (not exactly the same location as the station) to Monash in 45 minutes. Part of the reason why it takes a long time is because the route was made less direct after road access was modified and Route 821 was deleted.
This is a little like the Caulfield - Glen Waverley example this is a case where some very cost-effective travel time improvements could be obtained through bus network reform. However unlike the Caulfield - Glen Waverley example there is no way this will deliver the extreme travel time savings that the SRL will, even when you add some walking at both ends.
11. Coburg - Monash Uni
Another entirely SRL trip. Trip time is cut from a claimed 50 minutes currently to 10 minutes. Like the Albion example this involves a trip to the north side of the campus. If one is happy to travel to the existing main bus interchange on the south side you can get the indirect but one-seat Route 631 from Southland Bus Interchange (not exactly the same location as the station) to Monash in 45 minutes. Part of the reason why it takes a long time is because the route was made less direct after road access was modified and Route 821 was deleted.
This is a little like the Caulfield - Glen Waverley example this is a case where some very cost-effective travel time improvements could be obtained through bus network reform. However unlike the Caulfield - Glen Waverley example there is no way this will deliver the extreme travel time savings that the SRL will, even when you add some walking at both ends.
11. Coburg - Monash Uni
This is a trip that the completed SRL might save significant time on but not SRL East on its own. The diagram in the existing conditions trip has the train to Oakleigh going clockwise when it's actually anticlockwise via Southern Cross and Flinders Street. Except for the need to change trains at Melbourne Central/State Library, my comments for Albion regarding the benefits of the Metro Tunnel and north versus south side university destinations apply here. In other words this isn't a very good example of time saving for the SRL to use.
12. Cranbourne - Deakin Uni
Because existing public transport from the south-east to the east is so slow (attributable to limited bus priority and orbital routes having time-consuming deviations like Chadstone, Oakleigh and Glen Waverley) the SRL is bound to deliver big travel time savings. for this trip. Both Monash and Deakin universities gain here. Especially for Monash trips from the east and Deakin trips from the south-east like this one.
Travel time savings relative to both driving and existing public transport are in the 20 - 30 minute range. By Melbourne outer suburban standards Cranbourne is relatively lucky with buses as most routes operate every 20 minutes during peak and even interpeak times.
Because existing public transport from the south-east to the east is so slow (attributable to limited bus priority and orbital routes having time-consuming deviations like Chadstone, Oakleigh and Glen Waverley) the SRL is bound to deliver big travel time savings. for this trip. Both Monash and Deakin universities gain here. Especially for Monash trips from the east and Deakin trips from the south-east like this one.
Travel time savings relative to both driving and existing public transport are in the 20 - 30 minute range. By Melbourne outer suburban standards Cranbourne is relatively lucky with buses as most routes operate every 20 minutes during peak and even interpeak times.
13. Dandenong - Box Hill
Even though the angle between the Dandenong and Ringwood lines is more acute than the approximately 90 degrees between Ringwood and Frankston, the slowness of the orbital SmartBuses in peak appears to be still driving the journey planner to give an indirect via Richmond result for Dandenong to Box Hill travel despite the poor geometry. Again the SRL comes to the rescue with public transport travel time cut in half (from roughly 60 to 30 minutes). And if you are one of the lucky few right near the station then public transport even becomes faster than driving.
14. Deer Park - Monash Uni
14. Deer Park - Monash Uni
Very similar comments as for Albion and Coburg. The SRL is not going to contribute much reduced travel time. But under current conditions I would do what I could to get to the main bus interchange to have access to express shuttles to Huntingdale station.
15. Doncaster - Clayton
A significant travel time saving for the SRL as 80% of the trip (Box Hill - Clayton) is on it. It is also faster than driving by 10 minues.
A significant travel time saving for the SRL as 80% of the trip (Box Hill - Clayton) is on it. It is also faster than driving by 10 minues.
16. East Pakenham - Box Hill
Around 30 minutes quicker by public transport as the SRL avoids the indirect backtracking via Richmond or the slow 903 orbital from Oakleigh. It also beats driving by about 10 minutes - if you live right at the station. Bad luck if you were hoping to catch a bus from home; Pakenham buses typically operate hourly (or worse) in peaks so SRL or not the service still won't be very attractive.
Around 30 minutes quicker by public transport as the SRL avoids the indirect backtracking via Richmond or the slow 903 orbital from Oakleigh. It also beats driving by about 10 minutes - if you live right at the station. Bad luck if you were hoping to catch a bus from home; Pakenham buses typically operate hourly (or worse) in peaks so SRL or not the service still won't be very attractive.
17. Essendon - Monash Uni
Similar comments to Coburg and Albion. Again their map gets the City Loop direction wrong. I think they are grasping at straws to claim substantial SRL benefits here. If they want to be helping Essendon passengers, boosting the daytime Craigieburn line service to 10 minutes (like enjoyed on the Frankston line), some bus network reform and airport rail (with a Keilor East station) are all locally more important.
18. Footscray - Deakin Uni
I wasn't able to get an existing network travel time of 49 minutes for this trip - my answers were nearer an hour. This means that SRL benefits might be higher for this trip than the claimed 6 minutes. This benefit comes from the irresistibly fast access from Box Hill to Deakin University.
However for the benefits of going via Box Hill to be maximised, especially off-peak, there will need to be a simpler and more frequent greenfields Burnley group timetable - something the government has been putting off for over a decade.
I wasn't able to get an existing network travel time of 49 minutes for this trip - my answers were nearer an hour. This means that SRL benefits might be higher for this trip than the claimed 6 minutes. This benefit comes from the irresistibly fast access from Box Hill to Deakin University.
However for the benefits of going via Box Hill to be maximised, especially off-peak, there will need to be a simpler and more frequent greenfields Burnley group timetable - something the government has been putting off for over a decade.
19. Frankston - Deakin Uni
Some similar comments to the previous Cheltenham - Deakin Uni trip except there is a need to negotiate the train - train connection at Southland. Nevertheless SRL provides nearly a 30 minute time saving relative to existing public transport with a time similar to driving. The Frankston line's frequency is good so there are not the connectivity issues going home like there are with Belgrave and Lilydale. Instead, as with Pakenham, the limiting factor is the local bus network with many routes operating hourly and not all running seven days.
20. Frankston - Monash (sic - should say Monash University)
Very similar comments to the above Frankston - Deakin example. However the existing conditions bus interchange suggestion at Edithvale is poor - the LXRP's rebuilding of the station north broke the short physical connection with the 902 bus that previously existed. Hence Chelsea station is now the better interchange point.
Very similar comments to the above Frankston - Deakin example. However the existing conditions bus interchange suggestion at Edithvale is poor - the LXRP's rebuilding of the station north broke the short physical connection with the 902 bus that previously existed. Hence Chelsea station is now the better interchange point.
21. Frankston - Monash Medical Centre
SRL speeds trip by about 15 minutes as it avoids the backtrack via Clayton. However driving is still faster, possibly due to the relatively new Mordialloc Freeway providing a north-south connection that the public transport network doesn't do very well (the 705 bus from Mordialloc being an industrial route with only a few trips per day that runs to Springvale, not Clayton).
SRL speeds trip by about 15 minutes as it avoids the backtrack via Clayton. However driving is still faster, possibly due to the relatively new Mordialloc Freeway providing a north-south connection that the public transport network doesn't do very well (the 705 bus from Mordialloc being an industrial route with only a few trips per day that runs to Springvale, not Clayton).
22. Glen Iris - Monash Medical Centre
Glen Iris isn't exactly a bustling hub but it made it to one of the sample trips. Both pre SRL and post SRL trips have terrible geometry but SRL gets away with it as it is faster, almost matching driving times.
This is the sort of trip where the best solution is not the SRL but local bus reform. In this case extending the Route 734 bus to Caulfield station would provide a much stronger terminus and facilitate trips such as this.
Glen Iris isn't exactly a bustling hub but it made it to one of the sample trips. Both pre SRL and post SRL trips have terrible geometry but SRL gets away with it as it is faster, almost matching driving times.
This is the sort of trip where the best solution is not the SRL but local bus reform. In this case extending the Route 734 bus to Caulfield station would provide a much stronger terminus and facilitate trips such as this.
23. Glenferrie - Glen Waverley
Sometimes the travel times (based on an 8am departure) do not match the descriptions - in this case students 'catching dinner after class'. This is another case where indirect geometry on both options is trumped by the SRL's superior speed (due to its wide station spacing) to deliver travel time savings.
24. Glen Waverley - Monash Uni
Very like the Box Hill to Deakin trip where this one station SRL trip is vastly faster than any other option - driving or PT.
25. Kew - Monash Medical Centre
The post SRL itinerary offers only a minor time saving relative to existing public transport. What is more significant is that it enables the trip to be made with one rather than two changes. Also the interchange conditions may be better since the existing trip relies on a change from the 246 bus to Richmond station which is inconvenient, especially on non-sports days when Richmond's second entrance is closed.
It's good that the SRL included this trip as it exposes a major gap in Melbourne's network - that of there being no continuous public transport connection on the Burke Rd corridor between Heidelberg, Kew East and Caulfield. This is due to both tram and bus networks in the area being unchanged for decades.
Again, as with a Chandler Hwy route, bus network reform in the area could make a significant difference. There are relatively few bus routes in the area to reform so a very effective 'brute force' method could just be to layer one or two new frequent limited stop north-south bus routes, stopping only near trains and trams, over the existing network.
It's good that the SRL included this trip as it exposes a major gap in Melbourne's network - that of there being no continuous public transport connection on the Burke Rd corridor between Heidelberg, Kew East and Caulfield. This is due to both tram and bus networks in the area being unchanged for decades.
Again, as with a Chandler Hwy route, bus network reform in the area could make a significant difference. There are relatively few bus routes in the area to reform so a very effective 'brute force' method could just be to layer one or two new frequent limited stop north-south bus routes, stopping only near trains and trams, over the existing network.
26. Kew - Monash Uni
The SRL itinerary is very similar to above example. The poor geometry contributes to the trip via SRL being 12 minutes slower than driving. But there is still a 19 min saving over the current extremely convoluted public transport trip involving two trams, two trains and a bus. The latter is probably attributable to the lack of useful north-south bus routes in the area, slow traffic on Glenferrie Rd and the SRL's preference for a north rather than south side stop at Monash University.
The SRL itinerary is very similar to above example. The poor geometry contributes to the trip via SRL being 12 minutes slower than driving. But there is still a 19 min saving over the current extremely convoluted public transport trip involving two trams, two trains and a bus. The latter is probably attributable to the lack of useful north-south bus routes in the area, slow traffic on Glenferrie Rd and the SRL's preference for a north rather than south side stop at Monash University.
27. Laverton - Deakin Uni
Like other itineraries from the west and north to universities in the east, the SRL only gives minor time savings (in this case 10 minutes) relative to existing public transport (which is already faster than driving in the morning peak).
Laverton station does not have a very big pedestrian catchment so this trip example won't be useful for many people. If you were interested in making this (and many other) trips faster for the majority of people who live in areas like Altona Meadows and Point Cook then more frequent and faster local buses will contribute more to shorter door to door travel time than the SRL.
28. Mentone - Monash Medical Centre
Laverton station does not have a very big pedestrian catchment so this trip example won't be useful for many people. If you were interested in making this (and many other) trips faster for the majority of people who live in areas like Altona Meadows and Point Cook then more frequent and faster local buses will contribute more to shorter door to door travel time than the SRL.
28. Mentone - Monash Medical Centre
Because this is a trip that is mostly on the SRL, there is a large improvement in travel times by public transport (14 minutes). Furthermore, this improvement is good enough to make it faster than driving.
The blurb refers to a 'simple changeover at Southland' but this requires a short, direct and 100% under cover walk between the two stations to be incorporated in the design. This probably requires a rebuilding (and preferably relocation northwards) of Southland Station whose Platform 2 was carelessly built without shelter where most needed.
29. Monash - Melbourne Showgrounds
The blurb refers to a 'simple changeover at Southland' but this requires a short, direct and 100% under cover walk between the two stations to be incorporated in the design. This probably requires a rebuilding (and preferably relocation northwards) of Southland Station whose Platform 2 was carelessly built without shelter where most needed.
29. Monash - Melbourne Showgrounds
An emphasis on the SRL has been the use of it for diverse trips, not just commutes. This is a good design approach. However Melbourne Showgrounds is an events-only station. A 17 minute travel time saving is claimed but as much of this is likely to be attributable to the Metro Tunnel as the SRL.
30. Mordialloc - Deakin Uni
This trip is currently possible on the one bus (903) but this is slow due to diversions via Oakleigh and Chadstone as well as general traffic. SRL replaces most of this with a change at Cheltenham. The resultant 35 minute trip is 15 minutes faster than driving. Issues in relation to connectivity at Cheltenham mentioned before apply for this trip.
31. Narre Warren - Deakin Uni
Another south-east to Deakin University trip sped by the SRL being a much faster alternative to existing bus routes. The travel time saving is 24 minutes compared to the existing train - bus trip. The 21 minute shorter time than driving gives some 'fat' to allow for last-mile bus connections for the vast majority of local residents beyond walking distance from the station.
Like with the Pakenham example, local buses are generally infrequent and follow indirect routes. This means that for the SRL to have maximum benefit the local bus network needs significant upgrading.
Like with the Pakenham example, local buses are generally infrequent and follow indirect routes. This means that for the SRL to have maximum benefit the local bus network needs significant upgrading.
32. Preston - Monash Uni
Like all other western and northern suburb origins, the SRL only slightly improves travel times with an 8 minute claimed gain. Since this is based on access to the station near the north-east of the station the improvement would basically vanish if your destination is nearer the existing bus interchange at the south end of the campus.
Like all other western and northern suburb origins, the SRL only slightly improves travel times with an 8 minute claimed gain. Since this is based on access to the station near the north-east of the station the improvement would basically vanish if your destination is nearer the existing bus interchange at the south end of the campus.
33. Ringwood - Deakin Uni
Pre and post SRL trips are similar, both involving a change at Box Hill. The use of the SRL for the last leg saves 11 minutes, making the trip faster than driving. The SRL will also be more frequent than the 201 express shuttle people currently use. Further travel time improvements (especially off-peak relative to driving) require improvements to local buses.
34. Ringwood - Monash Uni
The SRL trip itinerary is the same as above except for remaining on the SRL for two more stations. The existing network requires a significant bus trip on the 703 bus. Similar to Cheltenham to Monash on the 631, the one seat ride involving the 742 bus does not figure. While the 15 minute travel time saving may not seem that significant it is notable that travel time variability will be less due to the SRL's immunity to road traffic congestion and its higher frequency than the 703 bus. The result is a car-competitive travel time with the SRL provided you are starting at Ringwood station.
The SRL trip itinerary is the same as above except for remaining on the SRL for two more stations. The existing network requires a significant bus trip on the 703 bus. Similar to Cheltenham to Monash on the 631, the one seat ride involving the 742 bus does not figure. While the 15 minute travel time saving may not seem that significant it is notable that travel time variability will be less due to the SRL's immunity to road traffic congestion and its higher frequency than the 703 bus. The result is a car-competitive travel time with the SRL provided you are starting at Ringwood station.
35. Sandown Park - Box Hill
Travel time more than halved (55 to 25 min) as the SRL offers both a geometry and speed improvement over the existing public transport options of train in then train out (poor geometry but faster) and train then orbital bus (better geometry but slow). Because most of the trip is on the SRL the travel speed is significantly faster than driving.
Travel time more than halved (55 to 25 min) as the SRL offers both a geometry and speed improvement over the existing public transport options of train in then train out (poor geometry but faster) and train then orbital bus (better geometry but slow). Because most of the trip is on the SRL the travel speed is significantly faster than driving.
36. Sandringham - Glen Waverley
With the SRL comprising most of the travel distance it is not surprising that there is a big reduction in travel time when this becomes available. The existing rail geometry is indirect while the general direction is not very good for driving either.
However the with SRL travel time (36 minutes) is very much a best case scenario as it relies on the 822 bus that is only every 30 minutes, even in peak. Also the current route alignment is indirect, it deviating off Bay Rd to go via the Metro Cheltenham station before going north to Southland. If a 822 bus is just missed the travel time nearly doubles, making it an unreliable trip that is as slow as the existing 66 minutes.
Consequently while the SRL benefits this trip it is insufficient on its own to offer good quality transport for Sandringham line passengers. This would require the 822 bus to be rerouted directly via Bay Rd to reduce travel time and its frequency boosted to reduce waiting time and its variability. Or, to provide a geometrically better feeder from more directions, a reformed Route 733 or 828 extension to Sandringham would be preferable since the rest of the 822's current alignment is not conducive to it being a high frequency route (whereas both 733 and 828 are).
However the with SRL travel time (36 minutes) is very much a best case scenario as it relies on the 822 bus that is only every 30 minutes, even in peak. Also the current route alignment is indirect, it deviating off Bay Rd to go via the Metro Cheltenham station before going north to Southland. If a 822 bus is just missed the travel time nearly doubles, making it an unreliable trip that is as slow as the existing 66 minutes.
Consequently while the SRL benefits this trip it is insufficient on its own to offer good quality transport for Sandringham line passengers. This would require the 822 bus to be rerouted directly via Bay Rd to reduce travel time and its frequency boosted to reduce waiting time and its variability. Or, to provide a geometrically better feeder from more directions, a reformed Route 733 or 828 extension to Sandringham would be preferable since the rest of the 822's current alignment is not conducive to it being a high frequency route (whereas both 733 and 828 are).
37. Springvale - Cheltenham
Benefits from a massively reduced travel time (42 to 16 minutes) due to the SRL's superior geometry and speed. 12 minutes faster than driving. The existing Route 811 bus operates between Springvale and Cheltenham but travel time is approximately 60 minute and the bus is only hourly, making it an inferior option unless you are lucky with the time and your origin and/or destination is away from the station.
38. Sunshine - Deakin Uni
As with other examples from this direction, the travel time benefits attributable to the SRL are minor and are probably lost in other variables (including the improved frequency that will be delivered as part of the Metro Tunnel project).
39. Traralgon - Box Hill
SRL's speed and direct geometry enable a similar travel time saving to that for Pakenham or Cranbourne passengers making a similar trip. Still, at around two hours for both driving and SRL, one would not imagine many would make this type of trip a daily habit!
SRL's speed and direct geometry enable a similar travel time saving to that for Pakenham or Cranbourne passengers making a similar trip. Still, at around two hours for both driving and SRL, one would not imagine many would make this type of trip a daily habit!
40. Watergardens - Deakin Uni
The SRL option gives a minor time saving. Some would come from the Metro Tunnel (whose timetable is likely to also deliver shorter off-peak waits for Watergardens) while the rest would arise from the faster Box Hill to Deakin travel.
The SRL option gives a minor time saving. Some would come from the Metro Tunnel (whose timetable is likely to also deliver shorter off-peak waits for Watergardens) while the rest would arise from the faster Box Hill to Deakin travel.
41. Waverley Gardens - Cheltenham
The current public transport journey is a one-seat but very slow 74 minute ride on the indirect 631 bus. The SRL saves 30 minutes of this by replacing the Clayton to Cheltenham section with the SRL.
A dramatic improvement but still 11 minutes slower than the 33 minute drive, even in the ideal case of someone living right at the shopping centre and the people they are visiting living right at the station.
The good news is that most of that 11 minutes can be clawed back by reforming bus routes such that Waverley Gardens on Police Rd gets a direct bus route to Clayton station via Centre Rd instead of the current dog-leg via Monash University. This example is one of many that shows that SRL by itself can deliver benefits but these can be magnified with a more direct bus network.
The current public transport journey is a one-seat but very slow 74 minute ride on the indirect 631 bus. The SRL saves 30 minutes of this by replacing the Clayton to Cheltenham section with the SRL.
A dramatic improvement but still 11 minutes slower than the 33 minute drive, even in the ideal case of someone living right at the shopping centre and the people they are visiting living right at the station.
The good news is that most of that 11 minutes can be clawed back by reforming bus routes such that Waverley Gardens on Police Rd gets a direct bus route to Clayton station via Centre Rd instead of the current dog-leg via Monash University. This example is one of many that shows that SRL by itself can deliver benefits but these can be magnified with a more direct bus network.
42. Werribee - Deakin Uni
As with other trip examples from the west, the SRL enables a small travel time saving due to the faster travel between Box Hill and Deakin University.
43. Williamstown - Deakin Uni
As with other trip examples from the west, the SRL enables a small travel time saving due to the faster travel between Box Hill and Deakin University.
As with other trip examples from the west, the SRL enables a small travel time saving due to the faster travel between Box Hill and Deakin University.
Conclusions
These trip comparisons illustrate the varying contribution SRL East makes to network connectivity.
Travel time savings were noted as being:
* Very high for trips entirely on the SRL due to better geometry and speed versus existing radial rail and tangential bus options.
* High for Metro Train - SRL trips from (a) the southern or south-eastern suburbs to Deakin University/Box Hill or (b) from eastern suburbs to Monash University, Clayton or Southland.
* Medium for some other trips where the journey involves the SRL plus a bus or tram component. These trips may be faster than driving for peak periods but during off-peak periods they may be slower, with speed and frequency for connecting modes being important factors along with interchange design.
* Negligible to low for trips from Melbourne's west or north to SRL-served locations in the east and south. However because a high percentage of the journey is on the radial rail network and geometry is reasonable they can still compare well with driving if originating at a station.
The SRL East gives some unexpected benefits for some trips from inner suburbs like Kew. This is attributable to (i) the absence or slowness of north-south tram and bus connections in an overwhelmingly radial CBD-based network and (ii) east-west trams that are also too slow or stop just short of stations where a suburban connection to rail could be possible. The CBD rail loop is an effective suburbs to city distributor but is otherwise an impediment to simple, direct and repeatable interchanges between lines.
Journey time savings attributable to the SRL East are highest for those starting their trip at a station. They quickly dissipate if beyond about 800m (or 10 min walk) from a station. Maximising SRL's benefits to the majority of people who are more than 800m from a station requires more frequent and direct bus networks and continuous active transport links suitable for all ages.
Journey time savings attributable to the SRL East are highest for those starting their trip at a station. They quickly dissipate if beyond about 800m (or 10 min walk) from a station. Maximising SRL's benefits to the majority of people who are more than 800m from a station requires more frequent and direct bus networks and continuous active transport links suitable for all ages.
Increased all-day frequencies on infrequent train lines (like Belgrave and Lilydale with their 30 minute gaps) and numerous bus routes that connect at SRL stations is necessary to reduce travel time variability. Fixing both is key to making the majority of SRL trips (that will involve a connection at one or both ends) reasonably competitive with driving. Without doing this the SRL's benefits will be confined to an unnecessarily narrow range of trips. Due to their large benefits independent of the SRL these service uplifts should be done as soon as possible with the Future Frequent Network a potential model that can be completed well before the SRL starts.
Comments on the above are appreciated and can be left below.
Comments on the above are appreciated and can be left below.
3 comments:
An excellent analysis. Your conclusions continue to highlight the significant benefits that will accrue from sensible bus network reform, irrespective of SRL. Likewise for train frequency improvements on the non-MM1 lines, especially Ringwood and beyond and Craigieburn.
Overall, this for me underlines other work which considers SRL East patronage estimates in its Business Case to be significantly over-stated. When combined with SRL North, if it ever eventuates, its prospects would be better.
John Hearsch
The 2 tram dog leg for getting from Kew Junction to Hawthorn Railway Station is an inditement on the 609 bus. If it ran all the way to Hawthorn station, with a decent frequency, it would be faster than 2 trams.
The trips to Deakin shown via Burwood would have a greater improvement at times that the Alamein line is a shuttle.
The utility of the Jolimont Loop would have been higher if the proposals for a direct connection to the Doncaster line/Clifton Hill had been included (a sort of early MM2, northern section). However, the single track nature of the proposals, potentially with a counter-peak return 3rd track via the existing route, would have undermined the connection (unless reformed into a 2 track version).
The effects of MM1 are not particularly well dealt with in this SRL report, particularly as it is opening later this year. A case of bad timing.
One benefit of the SRL East serving 2 unis well is that it will delay/avoid quite a bit of car purchasing, helping PT on other trips.
Regarding the 903 not showing up on the journey planner for the Cheltenham-Deakin example, I'm guessing it's because it doesn't serve the actual stop called "Deakin University" (unlike the 767 and the 75 tram on Burwood Hwy, and the 201 inside Deakin proper), but rather Uganda St on Elgar Rd, which the system doesn't identify as Deakin Uni despite being the western entrance.
On the flip side, the Deakin website actually forgot the 767 on its list of PT services, mentioning the 201, 903, the 75 tram and even Burwood and Jordanville stations; the latter even having a direct service to Deakin by none other than the 767.
And yes, while the SRL might be every few minutes (maybe during peak if the rest of the network is to go by, I can't imagine it being every 5 minutes at night), it's moot after you get off only to be waiting half an hour for a train at Glen Waverley or Box Hill, never mind catching a bus.
8AM on a Tuesday might not be an issue transferring from the SRL to another service (aside from stations beyond Ringwood), but 8PM on the weekend is an entirely different ball game when train services fall off a cliff, half the buses have finished (the last 742 from Glen Waverley to Ringwood on a Saturday is around 7:30, it's pathetic in this day and age) and the other half are every 30/40/60 minutes with emphasis on the latter.
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