Tuesday, July 12, 2022

RFI's grand Melbourne East-West Rail Plan


The Age has just reported on a Rail Futures Institute proposal to transform rail in Melbourne's west. Dubbed the Melbourne East-West Rail Plan, it would marry the state government's Western Rail Plan with a second Metro tunnel to extend electric rail to the booming outer west, add 12 new stations and speed Geelong trains.  

Spotswood would become a key hub with trains to Werribee/Geelong, Sunshine/Melton, Footscray, Altona/Williamstown, and, most spectacularly of all, under the Yarra to Fishermans Bend, Southern Cross, Fitzroy North and ultimately Wollert in Melbourne's north. 

RFI, made largely of retired rail professionals, wants 'Melbourne East-West Rail' done before the Suburban Rail Loop. They argue that it's more urgent to upgrade rail in the fast-growing west rather than in the more established east. RFI also queries aspects of the SRL's business case and endorses a recent Age editorial calling for a rethink. 

There's background right below but jump ahead if you just want to learn about the East-West Rail. 

Political context

Big infrastructure projects are inextricably bound with politics. Projects needs politicians to authorise and fund them, while politicians feel they need holes in the ground and cranes in the air to make their legacy and build confidence. 

The Suburban Rail Loop is genuinely popular. Opinion polls on transport projects rank it highly, somewhere near level crossing removals and Melbourne Airport Rail. SRL is seen as a way to ease suburban traffic congestion and transform our outdated entirely radial rapid public transport network. 

Expert and industry reaction was mixed. Big-thinking cosmopolitan urbanist and developer types were excited at SRL's potential to build Melbourne as a polycentric world city with great connectivity between denser suburban clusters. At last we would have genuine mass transit that didn't require backtracking via the CBD. And suburban politicians could tell their marginal seat voters that SRL meant more and better jobs nearer home.   

People who you might call the 'transport planning establishment' were less smitten. Those off the government's payroll were free to say it was a monster boondoggle with better uses for the money. Others privately agreed but knew which side their bread was buttered, so kept quiet. 

Some of the latter toil for months developing the case for projects worth a few million while SRL, costing ten thousand times more, gets waved through with less scrutiny. To the earnest planner who hopes for 'evidence-based policy' but only occasionally gets their projects funded, SRL was the bumptious queue jumper from nowhere that bashed its way into the public treasury with little more than a leader's backing. 

None of that worried the public. Possibly borrowing from his WA counterpart's 2017 success with Metronet, SRL was key to Daniel Andrews' 2018 re-election campaign. It worked, with a thin majority becoming a landslide. The government prides itself in meeting 'Big Build' infrastructure promises that critics thought impossible. Having done that, and with interest rates still then low, why not go even bigger?  Which they did. 

Thus SRL has become almost as much a totem for state Labor as the East-West Link freeway is for the Liberals. Regarding the latter, EWL support is the glue that holds Liberal members together, in contrast to differences over social policies. 

Howard era Liberal treasurer Peter Costello chairs Nine-Fairfax, the parent company of both Radio 3AW and The Age. No love is lost between Daniel Andrews and 3AW, notably its morning presenter Neil Mitchell. And, as well as the editorial, The Age has been running a series of articles raising doubts over the SRL. 

Some items have come from Marion Terrill of the Grattan Institute. Grattan claims to be an independent policy research body that 'takes the side of the public interest rather than interest groups'. Their writings have tended to be sceptical of megaprojects due to over-stated benefits and spiralling costs. 

I'm not unsympathetic inasmuch that Melbourne has done too little with low cost but high benefit local infrastructure such as cycleways, footpaths, roundabout removals, pedestrian crossings and extra station exits. We have also badly starved service with double the waits on our trains and trams and slower bus reform compared to Sydney. In other words we're terrible at working our existing assets hard, yet crave to build more.  

Unfortunately Grattan has tended to public transport scepticism, bagging big PT projects like the SRL while handling big driving-inducing freeway projects like North-East Link with kid gloves. And, like the State Opposition, neither have they suggested real alternatives to the SRL, which at least tries to address a real problem of our rapid public transport network being an asterisk rather than a more useful grid or web. We don't accept that with our roads so we shouldn't accept it with public transport. 

The Suburban Rail Link Authority has not universally endeared itself to key stakeholders. I covered the material raised in the EES hearings extensively in this thread. Its responses show a worrying dismissiveness towards real concerns raised by local mayors (and me right here) with regards to connectivity. It should not give reasons for  SRL-supporting stakeholders like councils to grow weary of it due to poor design choices early on. 

Due to long station spacing, SRL East adds just two new station locations to the rail network. The 8km gap between Southland and Clayton is particularly large for a suburban railway. Long gaps reduce the SRL's usefulness for shorter trips (of which there are typically more of than longer trips) and denies SmartBus routes like 903 on Warrigal Rd a 'network effect' benefit from having a nearby SRL station. And for those in between they mean significant backtracking to a station that, because it is an activity centre intersecting with Metro trains and with dense high-value land uses, won't (or shouldn't) have much commuter parking. 

If there were one or two intermediate stations added scope exists for not only better bus connectivity but some parking (ideally charged for) in locations where the opportunity cost of providing it is less. Having said that, such a station may still not get as much use as the others, and there is the precedent where even dense high-rise South Yarra was not considered deserving of a station on the Metro Tunnel. 

SRL's success is almost entirely dependent on connectivity from intersecting trains, trams and buses. Yet we are being told to accept walking times of six minutes to change between Metro and SRL trains at Southland. Melbourne's projects have a patchy record here so people are right to be wary of assurances given. If connectivity is not embedded from Day 1 then SRL risks not delivering its promised value. Failure could weaken advocacy for future public transport projects as detractors could use the SRL as a cautionary tale. 

RFI's Melbourne East-West Rail

A couple of years back RFI put forward an SRL alternative in their Melbourne Rail Plan 2020-2050. The emphasis here is spending less on one big corridor (the SRL) but spreading it over multiple corridors served by medium capacity transit such as light rail or bus rapid transit. Whatever mode is chosen the key need is that these services run frequent service on their own rights of way to achieve good speeds with good passenger connections to intersecting lines. If done right this could offer more suburban connection points per dollar spent. That's critical in a network with so few currently.

Yesterday RFI launched another proposal via The Age. In a release seen by Melbourne on Transit, they remarked that Victoria is unlikely to afford the concurrent cost of more than one major public transport project of (SRL's) scale and it would be tragic if another project is shown to be transformative with substantially wider benefits and needed far more urgently than Suburban Rail Loop.

RFI thinks it has such 'another project' in its Melbourne East-West Rail plan. It wants that started first. Their plan claims to redress the disparity in public transport supply between Melbourne’s burgeoning outer west and its eastern and southern suburbs

Whereas SRL Stage One is unapologetically about the east, the RFI plan looks inner and west. It delivers connectivity to Fishermans Bend, Sunshine and Spotswood instead of SRL hubs like Box Hill, Burwood and Clayton North. Its proposal is transport-heavy as opposed to SRL which emphasises precinct planning, especially around suburban universities and National Employment and Innovation Clusters

SRL, described in 2018 as a link between all major rail lines in Melbourne, also serves the west but only in later stages. And its alignment, funding and construction time remain vague. We also haven't heard much lately about Wyndham Vale and Melton electrification, new stations around Tarneit or even a modest Werribee line extension to Black Forest Road. Continued growth and shifting politics (including Labor's falling primary vote) opened a gap in the west that RFI has sought to address though its proposal.   

Existing major transport in the west (versus the east)

What transport service exists now on main routes in Melbourne's west? And how does it compare with what the east gets? Here's a quick snapshot. 

Despite fast population growth, the west has just one SmartBus versus the east's ten (including three orbitals). The orbital it does have (903) misses the west's biggest shopping centre at Highpoint, its biggest university at Footscray and one of its busiest rail lines (due to the lack of a station at Paisley for Werribee trains). 


Metro train service provision in the west is also lagging. No station west of Newport enjoys a frequent off-peak service as enjoyed on six corridors in the east. Waits between weekend trains at Wyndham Vale and Melton are 40 to 60 minutes as against the 20 minute frequency applying at Belgrave or the 10 minute frequency at Frankston. There even remains uncertainty over whether Metro Tunnel trains will much help frequency at Sunshine with the 2016 business case not being encouraging.    

As for infrastructure, the Geelong line is being asked to do too much. There is a need for stations in the City of Wyndham (eg either side of Tarneit and west of Werribee) but adding them would slow Geelong trips. Hence there is a need for an arrangement that optimises service of both needs. Meanwhile the area between Deer Park and Melton is rapidly filling with housing and will also justify its own suburban type service while retaining capacity and speed for Ballarat and beyond.  

Whatever else you might say about MEWR, the RFI's diagnosis of there being service gaps in the west appears correct. As is the SRL project's existing conditions claim about slow and unattractive north-south public transport in the east. Both schemes address real problems though you can debate whether they are the best responses or the highest priority. 

What is RFI's MEWR?

The Melbourne East-West Rail Plan involves a second cross-city / cross-Yarra Metro rail tunnel that will speed trains to Werribee, deliver suburban rail electrification to Melton and, in the longer term, bring trains to Wollert. 

Five more stations in Wyndham, faster Geelong services, new Fishermans Bend coverage and freed up capacity between Sunshine and the CBD are other stated benefits. MEWR also promises to make the rail system less radial, especially in the CBD fringe and inner west. 

How does it do this? MEWR would be a 14 km twin tunnelled rail that, in its Stage 1 form, starts at Fitzroy in Melbourne's inner north-east. It would then run south-west via underground stations at Parkville, Flagstaff, Southern Cross and Fishermans Bend to Spotswood. 

From there trains would branch into two. 

Half the trains would run as a suburban service to Melton via Sunshine. Tracks for these would stay underground through Spotswood, rising to the surface around West Kingsville. Freight tracks would remain but be moved if necessary to accommodate the new electrified passenger line pair.  

The other half would run to Wyndham Vale via new stations at West Werribee and Black Forest Rd on an extended Werribee line. 

The common portion would eventually handle 24 trains per hour in the peak, with half going each way west of Spotwood.  Initial capacity under Stage 1 would be 18 trains per hour with half on each leg. 

Trains from Laverton/Altona and Williamstown would go the existing way via Footscray. Most Geelong trains would revert to going this way but with greater separation from Werribee trains. However some would continue to go via the RRL and Sunshine to maintain connectivity. Diverting most Geelong trains frees up space for more RRL trains serving the City of Wyndham with up to 10 trains per hour allowed for. These would serve  three new stations including  Truganina, Tarneit North (Davis Rd) and Tarneit West (Sayers Rd). 

Key interchange points would include Parkville (to Metro Tunnel trains), Flagstaff (to City Loop trains), Southern Cross (to Metro and regional trains), and Spotswood (to Altona, Williamstown and most Geelong trains). 

Sunshine would become a real hub with trains available in no less than six directions (Geelong/Tarneit, Ballarat/Melton, Bendigo/Sunbury, Melbourne Airport, Footscray/Metro Tunnel and Spotswood/MM2). Footscray, Werribee and a new Black Forest Rd station would be smaller interchanges. 

The project has a bus dimension too. The interim Fizroy terminus would include an underground bus interchange for routes from the proposed Eastern Express Busway. A change to the train would provide faster access to destinations around Parkville, Flagstaff, Southern Cross and Fishermans Bend than staying on the bus and making a change in the CBD. 

Stage Two would build an eastern portion from Fitzroy to provide capacity for trains to Wollert, branching off the Mernda line at Lalor. Mernda trains would also use this tunnel. Those wanting Flinders Street could change trains at Croxton with this becoming a rail terminus.  

It's probably easier to see all this on the map below.  

The Melbourne East West Rail Plan (map supplied by RFI) - click for better view

Both the SRL Stage One and MEWR seek to solve real issues with Melbourne's rail network. Both are large scale, long-term projects. The difference is that SRL is about enabling efficient orbital travel and associated development (including potential intensification near stations) in the established east. Whereas MEWR seeks to add capacity, coverage and connectivity in the growing west, north and inner. Both have merit but RFI considers the latter more important. 

Other MEWR features

* New line to operate from 25kV with existing Newport West (Altona Junction) - Werribee converted from 1.5kV.

* Level crossing removals at Bulban and Browns Rd, Werribee. Construction to facilitate future level crossing removals at Francis St and Somerville Rd. 

* Provision for a future station at Brooklyn on the Spotswood - Sunshine line. This line will enter Sunshine via two new platforms on the southern side of existing RRL platforms. New side platforms at Ardeer and additional platforms at Deer Park would allow interchange. 

* Expansion of train stabling at Wyndham Vale and new stabling to be provided between Melton and Cobblebank. 

* A third non-electrified bidirectional track between Sunshine and Calder Park to increase capacity and speed for Bendigo trains. 

Timing

Work on the SRL has been going for nearly 4 years with construction now underway. Even though it would have a later start time, the RFI's plan has Stage 1 of its plan (ie Fitzroy - Wyndham Vale/Melton) being completed in 2035, the same year proposed for the SRL. However if the latter was done SRL would get deferred. Stage 2 (ie extension north of Fitzroy to Wollert) was stated as being done by 2039. 

The Melbourne East-West Plan lists a number of initiatives for completion in 2026 (ie the same year as we host the Commonwealth Games). Basically service upgrades, new stations, level crossing removals and new facilities, these include: 

* Metropolitan style frequencies (including off-peak, evening and weekend) for Wyndham Vale and Melton with Ballarat's 40 minute frequency extended to include evenings and weekends. 

* A connecting track pair from West Werribee to Wyndham Vale with Werribee electric trains extended. 

* New stations at West Werribee and Black Forest Rd with the latter including connectivity with Geelong trains. Also level crossing removals at Bulban and Browns Rd West Werribee and a train maintenance facility at West Werribee. 

* New stations at Truganina, Tarneit North (Davis Rd) and Tarneit West (Sayers Rd). Ardeer to be rebuilt with track re-alignment between Sunshine and Deer Park to enable a future additional track pair. 

Conclusion

There it is. RFI has produced a plan that promises to greatly improve rail services in Melbourne's growing west. With side benefits for some northern and north-eastern corridors along with inner area connectivity.  It ties together some major projects like MM2, the Western Rail Plan and faster Geelong trains. Along with ideas less talked about like Wollert and facilitating bus connectivity from the north-east. 

Its main barriers are political. Political change may well give it a tailwind with formerly safe areas like Melton and Werribee swinging strongly against Labor in 2018 and possibly even more so in 2022. 

On the other hand the Andrews government has committed to build SRL and is not known for turning. The Age article quoted a government spokeswoman saying that the existing infrastructure pipeline would deliver the same benefits as the RFI plan. 

But with rising debt, interest rates, labour shortages and project costs, the stomach to take on more mega-projects is likely less than four years ago. Melbourne has actually lost population recently and issues like health have risen to prominence. The Liberal / National opposition, meanwhile, has yet to show its hand in transport policy but said it would audit all projects worth over $100m. 

West/north/inner versus east. Which do you back and why? Or maybe an alternative arrangement would have benefits. Eg something involving Tarneit electrification but not what some might see as a kludge at Croxton.

Comments are welcome and can be left below. 

Friday, July 08, 2022

UN 131: Greensborough FlexiRide - Will they bust the silos this time?

Victoria's transport portfolio operates as a series of silos within which things get done. 

Hence a new train station or 'accessible' tram stop may be moved further from buses or the cross road it serves. New highway pedestrian signals might not align with the (also new) footbridge they were installed for.  A level crossing removal or new station might present connectivity opportunities but bus routes were not always reformed to reap all benefits. And, biggest of the lot, there remain concerns about whether the Suburban Rail Loop will connect well with intersecting trains, trams and buses.

Not surprisingly the Auditor-General found that we had no overall transport plan, despite a full agenda of 'Big Build' road and rail projects. 

The Department of Transport (and predecessors) even struggles with network integration within the one mode. Sometimes lazy planning plonks new bus routes over existing unreformed routes, with the 903 SmartBus orbital between Altona and Northland being merely our most expensive example. This presents big opportunity costs (eg not having buses every 10 minutes), especially when it's been so hard to get funding for even small service uplifts (as opposed to big infrastructure).   

More recently we've had Rowville FlexiRide introduced. This replaced one form of flexible route bus with another. Again this was layered over an existing unchanged fixed route network. Both network have such limited operating days and hours that it is fair to say that the 40-odd thousand people in Rowville/Lysterfield have two half-networks rather than one full network. Rowville FlexiRide even won a UITP design award for this, presumably because opportunity cost and maximised passenger benefit were outside its terms of reference.

FlexiRide in the Lilydale area was next. There were some minor changes to bus routes but otherwise it was still the basic 'grafted on' approach. Having said that, the redundant 673 bus later did get removed. Like Rowville this is an area with sparse bus services including many routes that do not run seven days.  

Then Melton South got FlexiRide. This is the best FlexiRide of the lot with 7 day service. However the public holiday start was made to align with Sunday and not the Saturday service pattern, making it different from regular bus routes in the area. While relatively minor it indicates the non-connected way in which the DoT specifies services and the lack of a 'network integration' oversight. 

Early 2022 saw FlexiRide start on the Mornington Peninsula. This was better integrated with local network changes (even if PTV information wasn't). Its introduction allowed the shortening and simplification of the extremely long and twisty 787 bus. However operating hours and days remain very limited with last buses departing before 3 or 4pm.  

The Department of Transport is slowly getting better. It is now less likely to introduce a FlexiRide bus without reforms to fixed routes than it did when Rowville's started. It still has a way to go in that frequent and local buses should be reviewed and reformed first. A flexible route (with its high cost per passenger) should only be introduced after other options are proved unsuitable. That is if you want to maximise benefit per dollar spent (which should be an important DoT and public policy aim).

Future FlexiRide services

What's coming in the FlexiRide world? Northern Tarneit's getting theirs in late 2022. Next is likely to be Greensborough/St Helena. This was funded in the 2022 State budget.  More about it here

The wording in the budget paper is encouraging. "... network changes to deliver Flexiride services in Greensborough and St Helena" implies that, unlike Rowville, planning will consider the existing bus network

What part of the existing bus network will be considered? The July 2022 PTV network map below gives some clues.  Routes 517 and 518, between Greensborough and St Helena, are most notable. Both routes have indirect unidirectional loops near their end at St Helena shops. Loops provide coverage for those travelling to Greensborough but mean that residents along them cannot go to and from St Helena shops.

Route 517 is (mostly) a main road route starting at Northland. It becomes more local in character east of Greensborough. Weekday buses operate at a hideously unmemorable 24 minute frequency that doesn't consistently connect with trains (every 20 min). Weekend service on this, and Route 518 service on all days is every 40 minutes. 

Route 517's boardings per kilometre is about average for buses in Melbourne. It has large scope to do better with a minor timetable boost to every 20 minutes. Route 518's usage is much less, at around half. This is likely because the 517 serves larger destinations (eg Northland) and has better catchment demographics (including Heideblerg West) than the heavily car-owing St Helena neighbourhood that 518 exclusively serves. Notwithstanding 518's quietness, its 14 boardings per hour on weekdays is still better productivity than almost any flexible route bus can provide. 

What choices exist if you were were going to reform regular fixed routes in the area as part of introducing FlexiRide? If they're wedded to FlexiRide, it's unlikely that 518 would survive as a fixed route in its current form. However Route 517 between Northland and at least Greensborough would definitely have to continue with an upgrade to every 20 minutes on weekdays (and preferably weekends) highly desirable. There may also be a case to continue Route 517 to at least St Helena shops and maybe Diamond Creek via a straighter bidirectional alignment. This would make it the area's main trunk route, providing connections to the train at two or three stations as well as Northland Shopping Centre.   

Something like the above would be close to a 'minimum change' network. FlexiRide would have to run 7 days per week given that 517 and 518 both do. There is a risk in that if you just had the 517 on a single linear route there would be a large area (including some main roads) without their own fixed route bus. Retaining a simplified Route 518 could help here. While this would only be a short route scope exists to combine it with another to increase the number of people with a one-seat ride to the area's biggest destination of Greensborough.  

If you are going to get significant gains (noting the poor productivity record of flexible route buses) then a wider consideration of the areas's buses will likely be necessary. 


Need for a wider network review

The outer north-east around Greensborough / Eltham / Diamond Creek is pretty much Melbourne's capital when it comes to having lots of buses carrying fresh air. Just 3 in 10 of its local bus routes perform near the metropolitan average. 2 of those 3 extend significantly outside the area (where they would get many of their boardings). The remaining 7 routes hover at around 60% of Melbourne's average and attract loadings below what Infrastructure Victoria considers a viable bus route. 

Local demographics play a part but so must bus network planning. Some areas are over-serviced with overlapping routes while others suffer poor connectivity with trains or no coverage at all. Also key destinations like La Trobe University (education), Heidelberg (health) and Northland (shopping) are rarely easily reached by bus from the area. If there was any part of Melbourne that could be given a cost-effective bus network makeover it would be this, as discussed here.  

Such prospects present wider opportunities for those willing to look beyond Greensborough - St Helena. Routes potentially in the mix include 293, 343, 381, 385, 513, 514, 580, 582 and even the 901 and 902 SmartBuses. Most do not harmonise with trains and/or attract low patronage. Some reforms would be in Diamond Creek/Eltham rather than Greensborough/St Helena but have benefits spreading wider.  

Possibilities include: 

1. Straightening 517 and extension to Diamond Creek and boosting to every 20 min on weekdays (and preferably weekends too). This will be the area's main trunk route with a connection to a major out of area destination (Northland) as per above. 

2. Further straightening and shortening of 517 by skipping Viewbank. Viewbank could instead get a new Heidelberg - Macleod route (potential number 516) to replace the 517. Scope exists to extend this to La Trobe University via Springthorpe Estate to replace the indirect 548. A simplified 548 enables a simpler connection from La Trobe University to the inner-eastern suburbs. If extended to Caulfield via the 624 alignment this would pass close to three universities (La Trobe, Swinburne and Monash) and serve half of Melbourne's rail lines including Metro Tunnel trains at Caulfield.

3. Consolidating Route 513 and 514 into a single more frequent route 513 between Glenroy, Bell St and Greensborough operating at least every 20 min 7 days per week. This would shorten an overly long route, lessen duplication and simplify services with a single route on much of Bell St. A slightly rerouted 902 would replace the 514 on Mountain View Rd while much of the 513 Lower Plenty portion retains overlapping routes. 

4. Deletion of the poorly used and duplicative Route 385 in the area. Unique stops could retain service by being serviced by Route 580 operating from Eltham to Greensborough via Aqueduct and Plenty River Dr. This route would serve the shopping centre at St Helena with potential for this to be an interchange point with the upgraded and more direct Route 517 as well as FlexiRide. Route 580's current 30 minute frequency is possibly excessive for its weak usage and doesn't harmonise with trains. Nevertheless a stronger terminus at Greensborough and connectivity to St Helena shops may assist usage.

5. Potential extension of the (admittedly poorly used) Route 381 to Greensborough via a replacement of Route 518. Diamond Creek is a weak terminus for a long distance bus route like the 381. Unless there's particular demand (eg school traffic) it should either not run there or extend to a major centre like Greensborough. Thought could also be given to providing local coverage around Diamond Creek if Route 580 is moved from the area (4 above). This could be done in conjunction with a reappraisal of Route 343. 

6. Reduction in frequency of the poorly used 578 and 579 routes (currently hourly each) to every 80 or 120 minutes each to reflect their semi rural nature and to harmonise with trains. Resources freed could be used to extend network coverage to the Bolton St area of Eltham which currently has no service. 

7. Conversion of Route 582 from a unidirectional Eltham circular route to a bidirectional Greensborough - Eltham route to improve directness and add connectivity to a larger centre. Routing could be via the 293 alignment to Greensborough and also compensate for the deleted 513 portion to Eltham. It could even replace 293 in the Montmorency area if desired as per 8 below. More here.

8. Swapping the 901 and the 902 SmartBus in the Greensborough area. Currently the two biggest centres in the north-east (Doncaster Shoppingtown and Greensborough) have no direct SmartBus between them. This is despite Greensborough having two SmartBuses to the Mannigham area. Route 902 runs indirectly via Eltham while the 901 veers off to The Pines. Route 293 provides the most direct access but has short operating hours and a limited 30 - 60 minute frequency. Nevertheless Route 293 has good patronage performance, indicating a travel need exists. 

SmartBus routes 901 and 902 can be swapped with no stops being missed. Operating 902 via the 901 alignment, approaching Greensborough from the south, provides the direct connection from Shoppingtown. Meanwhile 901 can be run via Eltham on the less direct 902 path. The direct 902 makes the highly duplicative 293 redundant. The resources from that could be folded into the 281, thus providing a simple 15 minute frequency service between Templestowe, Doncaster Shoppingtown and Box Hill.   

Most of the above is represented on the 'Expanded Useful Network' map here. What's shown on it as 'New 514' was described above as the 516 as the 514 is now a currently used number.      

Conclusion

Planners looking at network changes to complement the introduction of the Greensborough - St Helena FlexiRide have a choice. They can either change only one or two existing routes. That gives some benefits but they are narrowly confined. 

Alternatively they can think broader and look at the huge opportunities presented by the huge fleet of poorly used buses running right next door at Eltham and Diamond Creek. With care it should be possible to transform that into an enhanced and better connected bus network serving a huge arc from La Trobe University around to Box Hill and many areas in between. 

Which option will they choose? Only time will tell. If you have any thoughts then please leave them below.  

See other Useful Network items here

Tuesday, July 05, 2022

TT #170: 828 Berwick to the Bay

Running a broad sweep across Melbourne’s south and south-east, Bus 828 is a long route that few would ride end to end. It runs from the swank City of Bayside in the west via bustling Southland, jobs and shopping near Moorabbin Airport, very white Dingley Village (emphasis on the latter), multicultural Keysborough, diverse Dandenong, down at heel Doveton, car-choked Fountain Gate and rustic main street Berwick to terminate at its station just to the south. 

Route 828 intersects radial rail at Hampton, Cheltenham, Dandenong and Berwick. It sees heavy use for people making local trips, sometimes involving connections at one of these stations. It serves Southland Shopping Centre bus interchange but not the new railway station there.

The route is mostly direct except for some indirectness between Hampton and Southland where it runs more like a neighbourhood coverage style route. 


Service levels

Route 828 operates to ‘minimum standards’ for local bus routes in Melbourne. That is service between 6am-9pm weekdays, 8am-9pm Saturdays and 9am-9pm Sundays. Weekday service is mostly every 20 minutes with some 40 minute gaps in the early morning and at night. Saturday service is every 40 minutes day, 60 minutes night. A 60 minute service previously operated during the day but services were upgraded a few years ago. Sunday service remains at hourly intervals. Overall weekend service (in particular) is low for a route of 828’s network importance. 

The Southland - Dandenong portion of Route 828 appear on the Principal Public Transport Network. These mostly main roads are set out in planning documents to inform denser, and presumably more transit oriented, land uses. Some PPTN corridors have frequent SmartBuses operating until midnight while others only get a lower neighbourhood style frequency and span of hours. 

Funding to address this was limited and for years we had no bus plan. Last year we did get a bus plan and some following service upgrades, including some on PPTN routes. The plan itself however doesn't mention the PPTN indicating a continued disconnect between land use planning and transport service provision. Hence it's common in Melbourne to get the development but not much transit, including in areas served by the 828.     

History

Route 828 is the consolidated result of several less frequent largely overlapping routes including 826, 827 and 828. The 826 was the longest of this group, operating from Hampton to Pakenham. The 827 went via Hallam Gardens Estate. 

Over the last 30 years the history of the 826/827/828 group of routes is the direct opposite of what happened to the route 600/922/923 group. Whereas the latter started off simple (just the route 600) and got complex as it was split into three infrequent routes, what is now just the 828 corridor was three routes (826/827/828), became two routes (827/828) and finally the simple and mostly direct 828.

If you go back further the corridor was simpler before it got more complex. Out of the three routes mentioned the 826 can trace its history back the longest. This goes back to the country route 238 that started running from Cheltenham to Dandenong in 1933. That got extended to Southland when that opened in 1968, becoming 826 in the 1971 renumbering. By that time there was also a 827 from Dandenong to Cheltenham Station only. The Highett/Hampton area at that time had many short routes numbered in the high 630s and 640s while southern Doveton had the short 844 from Dandenong plus a group of longer routes on Princes Hwy. 

The 827 had disappeared by 1978 with that year's network map only showing the 826 between Southland and Dandenong. The 641 ran from Southland to Hampton in a manner similar to today's 828 alignment. By that time southern Doveton had gained another route in the 842, extending east along Frawley Rd before heading south to the Hallam Hotel. 

The 1980s saw many Melbourne bus operators merge and combine routes. Passengers could travel more places on the one bus but frequencies in older suburbs were often reduced. This was most notable in the south where many Brighton and Hampton area bus routes ran to the growing Southland centre and then on to Dandenong and sometimes beyond. 

This through-running across the Frankston line was far less common in the eastern suburbs because bus routes north of the Ringwood line were government (MMTB) while those south were private (mostly Ventura). Except for the three orbital SmartBuses these divisions largely remain today as does the split between operators.  

The full extent of the 826, 827 and 828 can be seen on the 1992 map. They took identical routes from Hampton to east of Fountain Gate. That provided an improved service through Doveton, including a Fountain Gate connection, replacing the 842 which was abolished. 827 and 828 terminated at Berwick with 826 continuing on to Pakenham. 828 turned off the highway into William Rd to provide north Berwick residential coverage.

2006 saw further change. The weekday-only 826 to Pakenham was replaced with a dedicated route 926 from Fountain Gate. Pakenham also gained some short local routes providing new coverage. An ATRF research paper by Currie and Bell discusses the Pakenham upgrades, finding benefits in these and other bus upgrades. 

827 and 828 remained as Hampton to Berwick routes with Berwick station sometimes also served. Later that year evening and weekend service was improved with longer hours and Sunday service. Each route operated every two hours on weekends to provide a combined hourly frequency. 

827 and 828 services remained complex with not all trips operating to Berwick Station. Route 828 ran at uneven intervals, spaced at 20 and 40 minutes with an hourly Route 827 filling the gap. Also there remained short 828 trips between Hampton and Southland to provide a 30 minute frequency on Saturday morning. This  heightened service is a remnant of a bygone Saturday morning shopping rush that extended shopping hours and the big centres killed off. Nevertheless it remains a feature of many bus timetables in pre-1980s suburbs even in 2022.  

Route 827 and 828 had an odd pattern with more 828 than 827 trips especially on weekdays. But with the 826 gone the routes were 80% the same. A subsequent simplification in 2010 saw every trip made an 828 with consistent serving of Berwick station. The most recent change a few years ago saw the 30 minute Saturday morning frequency between Hampton and Southland replaced with a 40 minute morning and afternoon service over the entire route. Sunday service however remains hourly. 

Patronage

Route 828 enjoys somewhat above average patronage productivity for buses in Melbourne. In late 2018 this was 28 or 29 boardings per kilometre on all days of the week. This flat pattern is likely due to the low weekend service levels mentioned above.

Opportunities and conclusion

Route 828 is mostly a simple and direct alignment. The biggest opportunities for it to do better is through improved service frequency, notably on weekends. An increase to every 20 minutes would greatly improve connectivity to numerous shopping areas including at Hampton, Highett, Cheltenham, Southland, DFO Moorabbin, Keysborough, Dandenong, Doveton, Fountain Gate and Berwick. Earlier starts and later finishes would also assist some work trips.

Parts of Route 828 have been talked about as a SmartBus corridor. It would certainly fill a network need as a direct connection between some of the south-east's strongest destinations. In this archived 2010 advocacy paper BusVic advocated a Sandringham - Southland - Dandenong - Princes Hwy (Fountain Gate?) SmartBus encompassing most of the 828.

The direct connection from Sandringham to Southland is, if anything, more important today with a new station at Southland and the proposed Suburban Rail Loop starting there. It could well be included in a reformed Route 828 provided that the Hampton - Southland portion was merged into another route. 

What are your thoughts on the 828 and its future? Please share them in the comments below. 

Index to other Timetable Tuesday items