Friday, April 14, 2023

UN 149: Baisakhi special - Public transport to Hindu and Sikh temples



Around now, April 13-14, is when Hindus and Sikhs give Baisakhi and New Year (Vaisakhi) greetings to mark the start of a solar new year. It is also a spring harvest festival. Vaisakhi Mela (celebration festivals) are held across Australia around this day.

So it's topical talking about public transport to Hindu and Sikh temples temples. But before that a few words on adherents' distribution and access to transport in Melbourne. 

Hindu and Sikh communities - geography and transport

Hinduism and Sikhism are two of the fastest growing religions in Australia. This is largely due to immigration which has made Australia a favoured choice amongst students and workers from the Indian subcontinent. Victoria, especially Melbourne's outer western, northern and south-eastern suburbs, has the nation's highest percentage of residents with Indian subcontinent heritage. Punjabi is also now Australia's fastest growing language with it being more widely spoken in Australia than India. 

Australia's immigration program favours people of working age. Many have families. This means high rates of trip generation as people to go work, school and university.

It's important to consider migrants' financial circumstances as this affects housing and transport choices. Many are quite highly educated but often do low pay / poor conditions jobs Aussies won't touch with discrimination or difficulties accessing higher paid work including permanent residency requirements. This is due to a mix of federal and state policies including uncapped access to 457 temporary work visas with low wage thresholds, de-regulated vocational education and a wish to support education as a key export industry. The Grattan Institute has analysed these policies closely with articles and reports here, here and here. 

The early 2000s saw divergences in state government attitudes to population growth between NSW and Victoria; in 2000 premier Carr said Sydney was 'full' while Bracks and Brumby unashamedly advocated a 'big Australia' with Melbourne taking the lead. Backing growth was seen as a way for Victorian Labor to win the confidence of business that it lost in the early 1990s and create jobs. . 

Melbourne's value proposition was that it could provide fringe area new house and land packages for perhaps a third or more less cost than more geographically-constrained Sydney. For migrants aspiring to big city jobs this meant that only Melbourne could deliver on Advance Australia Fair's promise of 'boundless plains to share' (even if none were exactly girt by sea).  

As a result Melbourne flipped from being a slower grower than more dynamic Sydney, Brisbane and Perth in the '80s and '90s to rivalling Sydney as Australia's biggest capital today. Melbourne's growth was largely driven by interstate and international migration. Sydney also had the latter but a higher rate of outmigration limited growth.  

These forces have made Melbourne's outer suburbs the fastest growing and most diverse in the nation. Popular suburbs for migrants are typically along the main transport corridors in the 20 to 40 km suburban ring from the CBD. A home purchase is a major marker of success and settlement in Australia. Up to four in five buyers in some estates have Indian heritage with professionals highly represented. Large new homes on small blocks are popular with proximity to temples a selling point. 

Public transport in such outer areas comprises outer suburban Metro or V/Line trains typically running every 20 to 40 minutes. Stations are typically more widely spaced than in middle suburbs. Hence the vast majority of residents only have buses within walking distance. These are typically also every 20 to 40 minutes though with shorter operating hours with little operating after 9pm most nights. 

Stations and bus routes in these booming ethnoburbs are amongst the most productive on the network. This is despite them getting approximately half the number of trips common for main SmartBus routes serving generally more established demographically European and east Asian oriented suburbs in Melbourne's east and south-east. This can be verified from the very high boardings/hour figures of bus routes serving strongly Indian areas in Melbourne's north and west and strong usage of stations such as Tarneit. 

Rational service planning would send more service hours resources to such high-use routes. However  Melbourne has a habit of building infrastructure but starving service. Service/usage mismatches are also common, with multicultural areas often left with second-class service despite demand generated by high housing densities and lower than average car ownership (including in some outer suburbs like Tarneit). 

Even though people in the Department of Transport and Planning are nice inclusive folk who can do a good 'welcome to country', the distribution effects of the services they preside over is discriminatory in outcomes if not in intentions. Inactivity here has entrenched inequalities such as the west and north getting half the south-east's train frequency and the east's nine SmartBus routes versus none in the outer west. 

This inequality is not helped by a historic reluctance to review and reform bus routes in Melbourne. That can mean that poorly used or duplicative routes can run for years before anyone with influence twigs that it's worth redeploying service kilometres to routes whose improvement would benefit more people. 

Temples and transport to them

Hindu and Sikh temples are often large structures in industrial or green wedge adjacent areas with sparse transport. Similar to other fast-growing religions in Australia (from Islam to evangelical Christians) their scale (and thus geographic catchment) is large. 

This is opposite to the small suburb-level churches operated by longer established (and often declining) Christian faiths, though they too have consolidated churches. The larger catchments mean that especially for people without a car buses are an important way for people to connect to their faith communities. 

Hindu and Sikh faith communities typically started meeting in private homes. Then they might have hired a hall as numbers grew. Tireless fundraising allowed the purchase of land (typically in outlying industrial areas) and the construction of a building. A long term approach was taken with moves towards what are now large temples starting in the 1980s and 90s when communities were very much smaller. The story continues today, especially in outer growth areas, with their own schools likely another community aim. 

I found lists of temples here, here, here as well as general searches.  They commonly open early in the morning and close mid-evening seven days a week. Many close for about 3 or 4 hours from midday (with siestas being common in India).

Here's a non-exhaustive list of temples and available transport. Some are large while others are small. Transport planners need awareness of them due to their community importance and ability to generate network patronage. 


WEST

* Sri Sai Siva Vishnu Temple / 7 Pauljoseph Wy, Truganina @

Route 400 every 40 min passes about 500m away on Robinsons Rd but no convenient stop.  

* SMVS Swaminarayan Temple  / 435 Davis Rd, Mt Cottrell 🚍

Nearest bus Route 182 every 40 min but limited walking connectivity. 

* Gurudwara Sahib Tarneit / 560 Davis Rd, Tarneit 🚍

Served by Tarneit North FlexiRide. Requires booking.

* Hoppers Crossing Gurdwara / 417 Sayers Road Hoppers Crossing 🚍🚍

Route 150 every 40 min passes by. Route 160 every 40 min nearby. 

* Guruji Mandir Temple / 501 Sayers Rd, Hoppers Crossing 🚍

Route 150 every 40 min passes by. 

* Shree Swaminarayan Gurukul / 1596 Boundary Rd, Mount Cottrell @

No buses operate in area

* Sri Durga Temple / 705-715 Neale Road Deanside 🚍

Route 456 bus every 40 - 60 min. 

* Kundrathu Kumaran Temple / 139 Gray Court, Deanside @

No public transport. Nearest is Route 456 bus. 

* Shree Swaminarayan Hindu Temple / 37 Sheahan Rd, Rockbank @

No public transport. 

* Melbourne Murugan Temple / 17-19 Knight Ave, Sunshine North 🚍🚍 

About 400m from 903 SmartBus on McIntyre Rd. 


NORTH

* Dal Baba Bidhi Chand Ji Khalsa Darbar / 5 Lakeview Dr, Mickleham 🚍🚍

Approx 700 - 800m from nearest buses (529 and 541). Both operate every 20 min weekdays, 40 min weekends. 

* Guru Ravidass Sabha / 24 Malcolm Place, Campbellfield 🚍

Nearest bus is limited service 531 and 538 bus reachable via indirect walk. 

* Sri Guru Singh Sabha / 344 Hume Hwy, Craigieburn 🚍🚍

532 bus every 30 to 60 min nearby. No signalised pedestrian crossing. 

* Kali Mata Mandir Temple / 7 Nova Ct, Craigieburn 🚍

Industrial area with no direct transport. About 15 min walk from Craigieburn station and bus interchange. 

* Sri Vishnu Durga Hindu Temple / 4a Helm Ct, Epping 🚍🚍🚍

Served by 901 SmartBus and Route 357.

* Prem Prakash Mandal Mandir / 63 Miller St, Epping 🚍🚍

Bus route 358 passes. About 1.5km walk to station and other buses. 

* BAPS Swami Narayan Temple / 60 Heaths Ct, Mill Park 🚍🚍🚍

Near bus routes 383, 386 and 387. 


EAST

* Shree Shirdi Sai Mandir / 32 Halley Ave, Camberwell 🚍🚍🚍🚍🚍

Near 75 tram and Hartwell station. Access also possible via limited service 612 bus. 

* Sri Guru Nanak Satsang Sabha / 127 Whitehorse Rd, Blackburn 🚍🚍🚍🚍🚍

Well served. Walking distance to Blackburn Station, 901 SmartBus and other routes including 703, 736 and 765. Also limited service Route 271. 

* Sri Vakratunda Vinayaka Temple /1292 Mountain Highway The Basin 🚍🚍

On bus route 755. 

* Shree Swaminarayan Temple / 69 Wadhurst Drive, Boronia 🚍🚍

Limited service. About 500m from Route 737 bus on Coleman Rd and longer walk to 732 and 755 on Burwood Hwy. 


SOUTH & SOUTH-EAST

* ISKCON Temple / 197 Danks St, Albert Park VIC 🚍🚍🚍🚍

Near tram route 12. Route 606 bus also stops nearby.

* Sankat Mochan Samiti Temple / 1289A North Road, Huntingdale 🚍🚍🚍🚍🚍

Excellent public transport connections being near Huntingdale Station and stops for 900 SmartBus. Routes 630 and 704 also stop nearby. 

* Aumsai Sanstan Temple / 12 Mechanics Lane, Mordialloc 🚍🚍🚍🚍🚍

A small temple with excellent transport access at Mordialloc Station. Also near 903 SmartBus and regular routes 708 and 709. 

* Vaishnav Sangh – Shreenathji Temple / 3-5 Princes Domain Drive Hallam 🚍🚍🚍

Route 893 bus every 20 min 7 day operates nearby. Also walkable to Route 828 in Frawley Rd. 

* Gurdwara Siri Guru Nanak Darbar / 33 Officer Rd, Officer @

No nearby buses. About 2km from Officer Station. 

* Gurdwara Sahib Nanaksar Thath Isher Darbar  / 430 Evans Rd, Lynbrook @

No nearby buses. About 1km from Merinda Park Station. 

* Gurdwara Sri Guru Granth Sahib Ji / 200 Perry Road, Keysborough 🚍🚍

Hourly Route 816 bus stops nearby. 

* Shri Shiva Vishnu Temple / 52 Boundary Rd Carrum Downs 🚍🚍

Southern hemisphere's largest Hindu temple about 500m to 901 SmartBus on Frankston - Dandenong Rd. Also near routes 832 and 833. 778 stops nearby but has limited service.


Service ratings

Number of buses is an indication of public transport access, as below.  

@     = No practical public transport nearby

🚍 = May be some buses but limited hours, long walks and very poor walking connectivity

🚍🚍 = At least one 7 day route nearby but walking connectivity may be long and poor

🚍🚍🚍 = Two or more 7 day routes nearby with reasonable access

🚍🚍🚍🚍 = Multiple 7 day / long hours routes nearby with good access

🚍🚍🚍🚍🚍 = A good range of transport options eg trains, trams and long-hours SmartBuses

Ratings are rough estimates with significant trade-offs. For instance some temples are a poor walk from good services while others have infrequent routes that stop nearer. A high value is placed on 7 day service operating to at least 9pm even if frequency is low (typically 40 - 60 min). 


Temple location and transport access

Different temples have different prospects for public transport access improvement. This is largely due to their location and the often poor street permeability of suburbs they are built in.

A location like A, near an intersection, has the best prospects. It is likely already near buses on both east-west and north-south roads. Upgraded access would involve boosting bus frequencies on both roads and (if not already done) replacing any roundabouts with signals (to guarantee pedestrian access) and moving bus stops to as near the intersection as possible. 

Location B is less favourable but probably already has a bus. Its main needs may include better bus frequencies and operating hours. Pedestrian signals may also be needed if traffic volumes are high.

Temple location C has least prospects due to distance from main roads and poor local street permeability. The dead-end location means it cannot support a through route with a stop right outside. The best that can be hoped for is a long walk from a frequent main road route or a somewhat shorter walk from a less frequent service on a nearer loop street.

However longer term as suburbs age and become ripe for redevelopment the prospect of purchasing properties to link dead ends and enable efficient through service should be seriously entertained. 

Conclusion

Public transport to most temples is limited with some having no practically usable service nearby. This is not helped by many being located on the fringes of industrial areas which typically have little street permeability or consideration of walking in their design. 

The sites for some temples may have been purchased before there was any public transport or even people living nearby. Buy what land we can afford now and worry about the transport later might have been the mantra.  

Temples on non-freeway main roads have better prospects for improved transport. While buses along them may currently run infrequently (especially off-peak) higher frequency is often justified due to strong existing patronage and suburban growth. There is also scope for access improvements such as pedestrian crossings since these are often lacking despite the potential trips that a temple would generate. 

Finally the train stations and bus routes near which many Hindus and Sikhs live near are also ripe for improved frequency and operating hours. These are well used relative to other public transport services in Melbourne and justify 10 to 20 rather than currently widespread 40 to 60 minute frequencies. Improvements to residential area routes reduce waiting times especially where people need to change to a bus that serves a temple.  

Best wishes to all Hindu and Sikh readers for a happy and fruitful Baisakhi

More Useful Network items

Tuesday, April 11, 2023

TT #182: Buses that didn't run Good Friday (and the ones that should have)

Along with the usual traffic hold-ups public holidays add another layer of complexity to the bus user's life. This is because buses run to different timetables and in some cases not at all on those days.

Plans in 2006 to introduce standard rules for what buses ran on public holidays were only partly carried through. Hence there remains confusion as to what buses run on public holidays . 

It's so complex that PTV doesn't always have much of an idea themselves or get published information clear and correct. 

Arrangements for Good Friday are a bit easier to understand than for some other public holidays. 

The general rule is that buses run a Sunday timetable. If a bus route does not run Sundays then it will not run on Good Friday. This rule applies for all but two routes (681 and 682). In these two cases buses run Sundays but not public holidays. 

Hence, unlike most other public holidays where other quirks exist, the main reason for buses not running that you think ought to run are because they don't run on Sunday.

The list

Here's a list of all Melbourne's daytime bus routes that didn't run Good Friday. Beside their numbers is listed a reason for them not running.  


201 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university shuttle

202 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university shuttle

236 No Sunday service

237 No Sunday service

271 No Sunday service

273 No Sunday service

281 No Sunday service

284 No Sunday service

285 No Sunday service

301 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university shuttle

303 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - peak route

309 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - peak route

318 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - peak route

343 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

350 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university service

389 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

401 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university shuttle

403 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university shuttle

404 No Sunday service

407 No Sunday service

414 No Sunday service

415 No Sunday service

417 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - industrial route

431 No Sunday service

468 No Sunday service

490 No Sunday service

503 No Sunday service

506 No Sunday service

509 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - shopper route

511 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - peak route

512 No Sunday service

526 No Sunday service

531 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

536 No Sunday service

538 No Sunday service

542 No Sunday service (half)

546 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

548 No Sunday service

549 No Sunday service

550 No Sunday service

551 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

558 No Sunday service

559 No Sunday service

601 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university shuttle

609 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

612 No Sunday service

671 No Sunday service

672 No Sunday service

675 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

677 No Sunday service 

680 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

681 Runs Sundays but not public holidays

682 Runs Sundays but not public holidays

686 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

687 No Sunday service

689 No Sunday service

694 No Sunday service (duplicates other routes)

696 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - shopper route

697 No Sunday service

699 No Sunday service

705 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - industrial route

706 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - shopper route

740 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - peak route

745 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

757 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

758 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

766 No Sunday service

768 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - university shuttle

772 No Sunday service

773 No Sunday service

774 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

776 No Sunday service

777 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - shopper route

778 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - industrial route

783 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

786 No Sunday service

787 No Sunday service

795 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

800 No Sunday service

802 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

804 No Sunday service

814 No Sunday service

821 No Sunday (or Saturday) service (to be deleted)

823 No Sunday (or Saturday) service

838 No Sunday service 

840 No Sunday service

842 No Sunday (or Saturday) service - shopper route

844 No Sunday service

857 No Sunday service

885 No Sunday service


FlexiRide Croydon No Sunday service

FlexiRide Lilydale No Sunday service

FlexiRide Mooroolbark No Sunday service

FlexiRide Rowville No Sunday (or Saturday) service

FlexiRide Rosebud No Sunday (or Saturday) service

FlexiRide Melton Operates but with a Sunday start time

List summary

When you add all this up you get 95 bus routes that don't operate Good Friday. These range all the way from tiny once or twice-daily weekday shopper routes to services along major highways like Princes (800), Nepean (823) and Hume (531). 

Reasons for not running and the number of routes can be attributed to the following: 

Peak commuter route (5)

Shopper route (5)

University route (8)

Industrial route (3)

Residential area route with Sunday and Saturday service but not PHs 2 

Residential area route with no Sunday service 52

Residential area route with no Sunday or Saturday service 20

Out of the 95 there's 21 special routes that you would likely never run Good Friday (or Christmas Day). These are weekday only peak, industrial or university routes. The only public holiday exceptions you might make are for university routes as universities tend not to observe state public holidays. 

The remaining 74, highlighted in yellow, are routes that a 7 day roll-out program would consider upgrading to run daily (including all public holidays). This list includes a few duplicative routes like 694 that you would never upgrade and would likely delete. Conversely it includes occasional routes (like 609 in Alphington and 745 on Scoresby Rd) that serve major roads or corridors that should get upgraded to more than the handful of trips currently run. 

A resumption of the 2006 MOTC program would likely involve staged roll-outs so the job could be entirely done in about two years (at a similar pace to that done in the 2006 - 2010 period). 

However unlike the MOTC program there could be a sharper attention to priority when sequencing, with the highest used or highest needs area routes like 281, 284, 404, 414, 503, 506, 536, 538, 546, 559, 612, 675, 774, 800, 802, 804, 814, 844, 885 etc being upgraded first. 681 and 682 in Rowville are also 'quick wins' since they already run 7 days and just need public holidays added. 

Other public holidays

Except for Routes 681 and 682 (which do not run on any public holiday) it is common for bus routes to run a Saturday timetable on public holidays other than Christmas Day and Good Friday. But not always. There remain about 20-odd bus routes that do run Saturdays but do not run on public holidays for which a Saturday timetable would normally apply. 

Because standardisation was never complete this is ripe for data and information errors, and do PTV often make them! More in this thread.

Even where bus routes do run a Saturday timetable there are oddities carried over from when shops closed around noon. Despite Saturday afternoon trading being legalised about 35 years ago many bus timetables have yet to get updates that reflect this. Hence service may shut down or reduce in frequency after about 1pm. This carries through to most public holidays. That includes ANZAC Day where buses may run in the morning when many shops are shut but not run in the afternoon when many open. 

This pattern is most prevalent in low income taken-for-granted historically safe Labor areas like Campbellfield, Reservoir, Springvale and Dandenong which have received very few bus improvements since John Brumby left office. 

More detail on all this here.


The route with more trips when the shops are shut 

Route 695F to Fountain Gate is the only bus route in Melbourne that has more service on Good Friday than any other Friday (or for that matter any other weekday). 

This is because 695F only runs after 4pm on a regular Friday and doesn't run at all on other weekdays. However it runs morning to night on a Sunday (whose timetable it uses on Good Friday). Fountain Gate is closed on Good Friday. Hence the most Friday trips run on the one day that the shops are closed.

This appears to be because 695F was conceived as a Fountain Gate shopper route with service on late night shopping Fridays and weekends only. Network simplification, if attempted in the area, would likely provide for more uniform 7 day services.  


Conclusion

A big deal can be made of bus network reform, with it being the centrepiece of Victoria's Bus Plan launched nearly 2 years ago. 

Even though it already had bus planners on staff, the Department of Transport and Planning has established a separate bus reform team, presumably to go bigger and bolder than before. Reform is desirable but success depends on budget funding and community acceptance. 

Winning both is hard as recurrent funding is hard to obtain and radical reform proposals can create 'losers' who are typically more vocal than the larger number who might benefit from a change. 

This is possibly why, of the three major bus reform programs in the 2006-2010 period (a. minimum service standards, b. SmartBus rollout and c. network reviews) only the first two achieved more than half of what they set out to do. 

Network reviews were potentially controversial with the need for consultation drawing out implementation time-lines further. By then the government had run out of money and/or shifted policy focus to fixing (by then) crowded and unreliable trains. Despite most (not all) review recommendations having merit, a far lower proportion of them happened than with the minimum standards or SmartBus.

The lesson from that era is that long reform processes can fall victim to wider political and budgetary circumstances, with initial momentum being lost, not to be recovered for many years. This remains a risk today, with today's challenge being interest rate pressures on borrowings (often major projects conceived when money was cheap).   

Mitigating that risk involves keeping reform going, even if small and cheap when finance is tight. This also means tight targeting to maximise benefits and a willingness to compromise or stage work. Seven day service and standardised public holiday patterns on popular routes in high needs areas is one of the most cost-effective and uncontroversial bus network reforms possible. Picking up on the start made in 2006, it would go a long way to creating a more usesful dependable network with wide benefits. 

See other Timetable Tuesday items here


Thursday, April 06, 2023

UN 148: Six bus reform tips for 2023


Last week I listed examples of some super-cheap bus boosts that would benefit the network. You know you want it. How do you get it? Here's six tips to find timetables and routes ripe for improvement or reform.


1. Understand needs & target boosts to where most needed  

More important than the raw number of people carried on a bus route is the passenger boardings per service hour the service attracts. Why? The latter is a better measure of productivity that cancels out route length effects. And it helps with priority setting if funds are limited. Boardings per service hour statistics per route are collected by DTP so the data already exists.  

Average bus routes in Melbourne get about 1 passenger boarding per kilometre, or 22 boardings per hour (assuming 22 km/h speed). But highly productive routes can be double or even triple that. 

Start by taking all routes that are better than about 1.5 or 2 times average productivity and compare against timetables. Particular things to look for include (i) start and finish times, (ii) off-peak frequency, (iii) any frequency drop offs (particularly after 7pm and on weekends) and (iv) unusual or uncoordinated frequencies (eg every 23 minutes in areas where trains are every 20 minutes). 

Devote special attention to routes that have high boardings/hour figures yet have 30, 40 or even 60 minute gaps in their timetables. That's a tell-tale sign of underservicing where longer hours and maximum 20 minute waits all week may be justified. You'll find many routes like these in suburbs like Tarneit, Craigieburn, Glenroy, Dandenong, Springvale and Box Hill.

In contrast areas like Brighton, Eltham, Diamond Creek or Lilydale have quieter routes. These areas definitely still need network reform and simplification but economy is more important as patronage gains per dollar spent won't be as strong. Thus it's important to prioritise and resource accordingly.



2. Focus on 'hours only' gains possible without new buses

Often this means concentrating on off-peak (including weekend) upgrades. This is good as patronage elasticity per unit of off-peak service added is generally higher than adding peak service. You are also benefiting a diverse passenger base and are generally not needing to add to the vehicle fleet. 

Because we've done relatively little of this in the last decade there remain dozens of cost-effective opportunities possible without going through the political problems of more complex network reform. This includes popular routes that finish midday Saturday and don't run Sundays despite strong usage.

Other routes, including those serving major shopping centres, do run seven days but only hourly on Sundays despite high usage and significant unmet demand. The network also remains riddled with non-standard public holiday arrangements and reduced summer timetables that add needless complexity arguably costing more than the money required to fix. 

It's right to do off-peak boosts first as 'low hanging fruit'. But don't discount the possibility of subsequent economical peak gains with a bit more thought. For example there may be scope to use school bus vehicles better in the early mornings and afternoon commuter peak. Having said that you can only go so far with fleet efficiencies; there's no getting away from the fact that new areas like Mt Atkinson need new routes (and therefore bus fleet expansion) for network coverage. 



3. Boost 99% done routes to 100% for little money  

Our network has many routes and lines whose timetables have 'loose ends'. That is they are almost up to a particular service standard but for the want of a handful of trips they fall short. Adding those trips (almost invariably off-peak) can cut waits and make service easier to brand and sell. 

As an example, Melbourne local buses commonly run at least hourly or better 7 days until 9pm. However there remain routes that finish an hour or two earlier than the standard, especially on weekends. These are cheap wins, especially where the route is well used. 

SmartBuses have better service standards but at least 4 routes narrowly miss out on those. Upgrades would again be cheap and end a 12 year hiatus in which none were added despite Melbourne's population growing by a million. The east-west divide also needs addressing with whole local government areas like the City of Wyndham having no SmartBuses versus seven in eastern areas like Manningham. 

A similar story applies to rail timetables that are close to having 20 minute maximum waits but have some larger gaps that disqualify them. Fixing these loose ends is a way to get a simpler and more frequent service for very few extra trips added. 



4. Seek economies and consider 'greater good' improvements 

This is where we look at poorly used routes to see if usage is commensurate with the timetable operated. Especially where there are nearby higher usage potential routes with inferior timetables and the same bus operator is running both. In this case it might be possible to shift resources for an overall benefit. 

Redistributing service resources can be controversial, although it is much easier to change a timetable than alter or delete a route. A staged approach over several timetable changes (as Perth does with its successful bus reforms) can smooth implementation if there are concerns about public acceptance of a change.

I described several cost-effective network pruning opportunities back in 2019. Most remain relevant today. If you want super-cheap changes without a lot of network disruption then ten tips were presented last week. 

5. Perfect can't be the enemy of the better

If you find that simplifying routes in areas like Keysborough only frees up enough resources to get service from every 40 - 60 minutes to every 30 minutes (even though you might want every 20 minutes)  should you still do it? I'd say generally yes, especially in areas with trains every 10 minutes where connections could still be harmonised.

Even small changes, like removing redundant kinks or deviations or boosting off-peak frequency or operating hours, should be done promptly even if these don't fix all problems with a route. 

Staging of changes is acceptable to suit delivery capacity. Indeed given that DTP's capability is limited (unlike the project delivery agencies which have a 'mass production' mindset for removing level crossings etc) staging is the only way to get reform happening at all.  

Network reforms in Brimbank and adjoining parts of Melton, for example occurred not only in 2014 but for several years after in phases including simplifying service on Ballarat Rd and accommodating the new Caroline Springs Station. These changes (like 2015's in Wyndham) put the network in a good position for later service uplifts even if these can't be afforded at the time.

Another aspect of this point is that DTP needs enough corporate memory to recall 'loose ends' left from previous reform so they can boost services or extend routes just beyond scope of their first reform. Their 2020 Endeavour Hills network is an example where they left it at 90% done for the want of trifling amounts for better operating hours.  

6. Essential to retain DTP capacity to deliver

It may be possible to trim other parts of the Department but it's essential to retain internal capacity to properly deliver service reform. Even small changes that may appear cost-neutral on operating expenses require staff and capital to plan and implement. If anything there needs more not less capability as the portfolio emerges from a long stupor in which little service reform got done.

Having strong capability, especially when resources are limited, also means a service focus, even if external matters compete for attention. This means wariness towards ephemeral matters like apps and flexible route buses (which have only limited applicability due to high costs per passenger carried).

Bus electrification is very desirable for various reasons including lower operating costs. However it should be pursued in a manner that does not detract from the main game of cost-effectively delivering the most service to the most people. 

Any more tips for reforming bus networks? Leave them in the comments below! 

Index to Useful Network items here